ANDREI ROMAN: "EXISTE UM NOME FORA DO RADAR QUE PODE SURPREENDER EM 2026"

Summary

Andrei Roman, CEO of Atlas Intel, analyzes the Brazilian 2026 presidential election dynamics, focusing on Flávio Bolsonaro's crystallized voter base, the potential of alternative candidates like Zema, Caiado, and outsiders such as Joaquim Barbosa, and the structural space for a third-way candidate due to aging polarization and younger voters' desire for renewal.

• Andrei Roman discusses Flávio Bolsonaro's solid first-round support but notes alternative candidates are rising in second-round scenarios.
• Roman argues that outsider candidates like Joaquim Barbosa could capitalize on corruption scandals and public distrust in institutions.
• The analysis highlights demographic shifts, with younger voters less engaged by the Lula-Bolsonaro polarization.
• The lower-middle class (classe C) is identified as a key swing segment that Bolsonaro captured but may be up for grabs in 2026.
• Candidates like Renan (younger, digital) are gaining traction among those under 24 but face resistance from older voters.