President Trump hosts Black History Month reception at the White House — 2/18/2026
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 18, 2026 at 21:07 UTC  |  45:54  |  CNBC
Speakers
Donald Trump — President of the United States

Summary

  • President Trump touts a "Golden Age" economy, citing the Dow Jones breaking 50,000 and the S&P 500 breaking 7,000 within the first year of his term, defying 4-year predictions.
  • Inflation is described as defeated, with gasoline prices falling below $2/gallon, acting as a massive deflationary tailwind for the consumer.
  • Major tax policy shifts are highlighted: "No Tax on Tips," "No Tax on Overtime," and "No Tax on Social Security," aimed at boosting disposable income for the working class and seniors.
  • A strict "Law and Order" and deportation agenda is reiterated ("We move people out"), alongside the deployment of the National Guard in major cities to reduce crime.
Trade Ideas
Ticker Direction Speaker Thesis Time
SPY /DOW
LONG Donald Trump
President of the United States 		"The stock market has hit 53 all-time record highs since the election... Dow Jones... rose above 50,000... S&P broke 7,000." The President explicitly links his administration's policies (deregulation, tax cuts) to record equity performance, signaling continued fiscal and political support for asset prices to maintain the "hottest country" narrative. LONG US Equities as the administration prioritizes market performance as a key KPI. Re-acceleration of inflation due to loose fiscal policy or trade wars. 26:44
US CONSUMER /XLY
LONG Donald Trump
President of the United States 		"Gasoline is now breaking $2 a gallon... No tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security." The combination of plummeting energy costs (a major input for households) and the elimination of taxes on multiple income streams creates a significant shock of disposable income for consumers, directly benefiting discretionary spending. LONG Consumer Discretionary stocks. If deflation in energy signals a broader recession rather than just supply abundance. —
GEO /CXW
LONG Donald Trump
President of the United States 		"We move people out. We take career criminals and we get them out... If you do a harsh crime, you do harsh time." The administration's focus on mass deportations and strict incarceration ("harsh time") necessitates expanded detention infrastructure and logistics, a market dominated by private prison operators. LONG Private Prisons/Detention REITs. Legal challenges to deportation orders or changes in federal contracting. —
REAL ESTATE
LONG Donald Trump
President of the United States 		"One of the reasons I was so high on Scott Tenner is he was really the driving force behind the opportunity zones... make not just housing affordable... but really to bring transformation." Continued emphasis on Opportunity Zones and HUD initiatives suggests sustained federal incentives for real estate development, particularly in targeted economic zones. LONG Real Estate Developers/REITs. Rising interest rates could dampen housing demand despite incentives. —