People don't know how much credibility to put behind Trump's tariff threats: CFR's Michael Froman

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 28, 2026 at 15:09  |  6:17  |  CNBC
Speakers
Michael Froman — President, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

Summary

Michael Froman, CFR president and former U.S. Trade Representative, joins Squawk Box to discuss U.S.-Canada trade tensions, Mark Carney's Davos speech, and the broader global trade landscape. He argues Canada's ability to diversify away from the U.S. is limited by geography and integration, while Trump's tariff threats are losing credibility because announcements lack concrete follow-through. He sees external pressure potentially pushing Europe toward reforms and notes China is benefiting from countries de-risking from the U.S., even if long-term trade ties remain complicated. The discussion also covers Davos, Greenland, and neglected geopolitical issues like the U.S.-China relationship.

  • Michael Froman discusses U.S.-Canada trade relations and Mark Carney's Davos speech.
  • Canada's push to diversify away from the U.S. is constrained by deep economic integration.
  • Trump's tariff threats are losing credibility due to unclear or shifting announcements.
  • The EU and other regions are accelerating trade agreements with partners like India and Mercosur.
  • Europe may use outside pressure to implement long-delayed structural reforms.
  • China is benefiting from global de-risking from the U.S. in the near term.
  • Davos focused heavily on Greenland while issues like U.S.-China relations were pushed aside.
Ideas
Michael Froman President, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) 2:45
Tariffs may catalyze European reforms.
External pressure from Trump's trade policy could give Europe the push it needs to implement long-delayed structural reforms, such as those outlined in the Draghi and Letta reports. If Europe overcomes nationalistic resistance and acts on these reforms, it would help strengthen Europe.
Michael Froman President, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) 3:21
China benefits from US de-risking.
China is benefiting from the current moment of instability as countries feel the need to de-risk from the United States and look for other partners. He cautions that countries may not find China a good long-term trading partner, but the near-term benefit from trade diversification is clear.
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This CNBC video, published January 28, 2026, features Michael Froman discussing VGK, FXI. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Michael Froman  · Tickers: VGK, FXI