'Tentacles of the AI buildout' reaching every asset class, says J.P. Morgan's Gabriella Santos

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 03, 2026 at 00:08  |  4:04  |  CNBC
Speakers
Gabriela Santos — Head of Research, BTIG

Summary

Gabriella Santos argues the AI capex buildout is still accelerating and remains a major earnings driver, but the summer momentum unwind showed investors must manage crowding and leverage. She says old tech buckets like Mag-7 are fading, while semiconductors, hyperscalers, and software can do well together. Using J.P. Morgan's AI factor basket, she finds most assets are increasingly tied to AI, making true diversification scarce. The few uncorrelated areas she highlights are Treasuries, gold, core real estate, and European equities.

  • NVIDIA and Dell led tech higher while software had its worst week in nearly three months, raising AI leadership questions.
  • Gabriella Santos says AI remains a huge secular theme and the AI capex buildout phase is still accelerating.
  • The summer momentum unwind showed even AI bulls need careful position sizing, leverage control, and diversification.
  • Discrete buckets like Mag-7 are fading, but hyperscalers, semiconductors, and software can do well together.
  • J.P. Morgan's AI factor basket shows most assets are increasingly moving with the AI buildout.
  • Treasuries, gold, core real estate, and European equities are among the few return streams less tied to AI.
Ideas
Gabriela Santos Head of Research, BTIG 1:00
AI momentum can unwind painfully fast.
The summer momentum unwind, especially painful in July and continuing into August, showed that even investors who are very bullish on AI need to be careful with position sizing and leverage because momentum and crowded positioning can reverse abruptly.
Gabriela Santos Head of Research, BTIG 1:27
AI capex buildout still accelerating.
The market is still in an AI capex buildout phase that is accelerating and remains a huge secular driver of an earnings super cycle, so investors can remain broadly bullish on AI even though the market will keep reassessing winners and losers.
Gabriela Santos Head of Research, BTIG 1:48
Semis, hyperscalers, software can rally together.
Discrete AI buckets are fading, but within the AI buildout the three buckets of hyperscalers, semiconductors, and software can and should do well together rather than one area winning at the other's expense, even with more dispersion among individual names.
Gabriela Santos Head of Research, BTIG 3:16
Treasuries, gold, real estate, Europe diversify AI.
J.P. Morgan constructed an AI factor thematic basket and found that many assets now move together with the AI buildout, making true diversification difficult; the few return streams less tied to AI are Treasuries, gold, core real estate, and European equities.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published September 03, 2026, features Gabriela Santos discussing MTUM, AI capex buildout, SMH, SKYY, IGV, TLT, GLD, XLRE, VGK. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Gabriela Santos  · Tickers: MTUM, AI capex buildout, SMH, SKYY, IGV, TLT, GLD, XLRE, VGK