July Employment Down 23,000, Interest Rate Hike Concerns Ease...S&P500 Strong Except for Semiconductors

July Employment Down 23,000, Interest Rate Hike Concerns Ease...S&P500 Strong Except for Semiconductors [Wall Street Newsletter]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 09, 2026 at 22:11  |  48:42  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator

Summary

Curator Park Myung-suk reviews the Wall Street session where the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high despite a shock -23,000 July jobs print, as the weak data eased rate-hike fears. Semiconductors, especially memory, continued to lag, but software stocks and optical communications surged. The broadcast also covers Nvidia's valuation, weakness in memory chips, a nuclear stock catalyst in Oklo, and gold's rally on dollar weakness, while noting upcoming CPI data as the next key catalyst.

  • July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 vs +80,000 expected, easing immediate rate-hike concerns and lifting equities.
  • S&P 500 closed at a record high while Nasdaq outperformed, driven by software and AI-related growth names.
  • Semiconductors underperformed, with memory chips pressured by hyperscaler cost-efficiency drives; Nvidia remains the exception.
  • Software stocks rebounded strongly as earlier 'SaaS apocalypse' fears reversed, with AI now seen as a benefit.
  • Optical communications rallied on new US sanctions on Chinese transceivers and the launch of the Roundhill LYT ETF.
  • Oklo surged after its test reactor reached criticality and it reported an unexpected revenue beat.
  • Gold strengthened on dollar weakness from Japan's yen intervention and saw the largest inflows since April.
  • Iran nuclear deal uncertainty persists with reports of a quiet diplomatic track, limiting oil price upside for now.
Ideas
Optical comm stocks up on sanctions, ETF
Optical communication stocks are surging due to two catalysts: Trump administration sanctions on Chinese optical transceivers and the timely launch of the Roundhill optical comm ETF (LYT). Nvidia also favors optical communication, adding to the positive sentiment, though the move is partly supply/demand driven rather than pure earnings improvement.
Gold rallies on dollar weakness, inflows
Gold is strengthening as the dollar weakens — driven by Japan’s yen intervention and dollar selling. The precious metal is seeing the largest monthly inflows since April, and option traders are increasingly adding upside bets as the dollar downtrend continues.
Avoid memory chips, demand headwinds persist
Memory semiconductor stocks (Micron, SanDisk/Western Digital, Seagate) are underperforming and should be avoided for now. Weak post-earnings performance, hyperscaler capital efficiency drives, and CPU/memory bottleneck reduction are all weighing on demand. The market is telling investors to forget memory chips for the time being.
Software stocks rally, AI now tailwind
US software stocks are rallying strongly because the feared 'SaaS apocalypse' from AI has reversed — companies like Atlassian, Datadog, and Snowflake are proving that AI benefits their businesses. Bank of America and Mizuho now see software as an AI game-changer, not a victim. The IGV software ETF has rebounded sharply after being heavily sold earlier in the year, with lower expectations creating upside surprise. The open-weight AI model trend is helping software firms integrate AI into their products.
Nvidia undervalued at 16x PER, leading
Nvidia remains the leader in the semiconductor space and is undervalued at 16x P/E, according to Bank of America. Despite broader semiconductor weakness, Nvidia continues to drive the S&P 500 rally, especially after SpaceX said they will only use Nvidia chips, widening the gap with AMD.
Oklo reactor critical, revenue surprise positive
Oklo, the nuclear energy startup backed by Sam Altman, reached a critical test reactor state, signaling near-readiness for operation. It also unexpectedly reported positive revenue (1.21 vs 0.1 expected), driving a rally in nuclear stocks. Altman publicly celebrated the achievement.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 09, 2026, features Park Myung-seok discussing LYT, GLD, MU, WDC, STX, IGV, NVDA, OKLO. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-seok  · Tickers: LYT, GLD, MU, WDC, STX, IGV, NVDA, OKLO