[#UrgentMarketUpdate] Why KOSPI 10,000 Era is Possible / Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG Innotek Stock Prices Soar… NVIDIA Gave the Answer | Park Geun-hyung Manager

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 26, 2026 at 06:00  |  20:07  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Park Geun-hyung — Director

Summary

IBK Investment & Securities Manager Park Geun-hyung discusses the strong KOSPI rally driven by Iran-US ceasefire progress, falling oil yields, and favorable interest rate outlook. He highlights MLCC and memory as key beneficiaries of rising AI hardware cost shares, and sees KOSPI potentially reaching 10,000 on low valuations. He is cautious on KOSDAQ due to weak fundamentals and policy dependency.

  • KOSPI strength attributed to geopolitical progress and macro stability
  • MLCC shortage thesis supports Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Innotek
  • Memory stocks (Samsung, SK Hynix) still have upside from AI demand
  • KOSPI could hit 10,000 based on historical PER multiples
  • KOSDAQ rally is policy-driven and lacks fundamental support
  • Foreign selling in Korean tech is mechanical, not fundamental
  • Quantum and space themes surface but lack concrete investable edge
Trade Ideas
MLCC shortage benefits Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG Innotek
MLCC (multi-layer ceramic capacitors) are entering a shortage phase driven by the rising cost share in NVIDIA's Vera Rubin platform. MLCC cost share jumped from under 10% (in GB300) to nearly 30% in Vera Rubin, and MLCC revenue grew 182%. This benefits Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Innotek directly, as they are key MLCC suppliers. The shortage narrative is similar to what happened with memory semiconductors, providing a strong demand tailwind despite elevated valuations.
Memory stocks still have upside
Memory (DRAM/NAND) still has room to run. The Vera Rubin platform sees memory cost share increase from under 10% to about 30%, and memory revenue growth of 435%. While Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have already rallied, the fundamental demand from AI remains strong and valuations are not excessive compared to historical norms. The recent foreign selling is mechanical (MSCI weight limits), not fundamental, so the long-term trend is intact.
KOSPI to 10k on low PER
KOSPI can reach 10,000 points based on historical PER multiples. The current PER is around 7.2x, well below the 10-year average of 10x and the 26-year average of 8.77x. Even 9x PER implies 9,060 points, and 10x implies near 10,000. Past cycles have reached 12-13x PER, so further upside is plausible. Additionally, the Iran-US ceasefire progress, falling oil prices, and stable US economic data support a favorable macro environment. The Fed is unlikely to raise rates before the midterm elections, providing a supportive backdrop.
KOSDAQ rally unsustainable, avoid
KOSDAQ index lacks fundamental earnings support and its recent rally is largely policy-driven (National Growth Fund). The index is dominated by biotech and secondary battery names that are not generating strong earnings. Without sustained policy support, the rally lacks continuity. Investors should be cautious and focus on the fundamental strength in KOSPI instead.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published May 26, 2026, features Park Geun-hyung discussing 009150.KS, 011070.KS, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, EWY, KOSDAQ. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Geun-hyung  · Tickers: 009150.KS, 011070.KS, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, EWY, KOSDAQ