The Dollar Itself Is Now a Risky Asset: Why Central Banks Around the World Are Buying Gold Like Crazy; Gold Must Break $20,000 per Ounce Before the Cycle Ends (Gold Investment) - Stackers CEO Cho Kyu-won

"달러 자체가 이제는 위험 자산" 세계 중앙은행들이 미친 듯이 금 사들이는 이유 / 금값 온스 당 2만 불 돌파해야 끝난다 (#금투자) 스태커스 조규원 대표
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 10, 2026 at 07:00  |  22:23  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Cho Gyu-won — CEO

Summary

Stackers CEO Cho Kyu-won argues that gold is in a secular bull market driven by central-bank buying, de-dollarization, US fiscal deterioration, and the dollar's loss of safe-haven status. He expects this cycle to carry gold to at least $20,000 per ounce and sees silver as a higher-volatility beneficiary with an added supply-side squeeze. He also explains when Korean investors should choose physical gold or the KRX gold market versus gold ETFs based on the local premium.

  • Gold is framed as a paradigm shift, not a geopolitical one-off.
  • Central banks are buying gold because dollar value and trust are weakening.
  • US debt, deficits, and de-dollarization support long-term dollar weakness.
  • Silver follows gold with higher volatility and has a supply deficit plus China export-control risk.
  • Geopolitical de-escalation-driven gold dips are viewed as buying opportunities.
  • Rate cuts are helpful but not required; inflation-driven hikes can still accompany higher gold.
  • Korean investors should compare physical gold or the KRX gold market versus ETFs using the kimchi premium.
  • The speaker targets at least $20,000 per ounce before the gold cycle ends.
Ideas
Dollar is risk asset structurally declining.
The US dollar is no longer a reliable safe haven and is becoming a risk asset. Structural dollar debasement from past and expected liquidity expansion, unsustainable US debt and deficits, and de-dollarization by BRICS and central banks point to long-term dollar value decline.
Gold secular bull market targets $20,000.
Gold is in a secular bull market, not a geopolitical one-off. Central banks are buying aggressively because the dollar's value and trust are weakening due to money printing, US debt and deficits, and reserve weaponization. The cycle began around 2019 and may run to around 2030; historical bull cycles have delivered 7x-26x gains while the current move is only about 3x from lows, so gold is still early and should eventually exceed $20,000 per ounce.
Silver gains on gold plus supply deficit.
Silver is a higher-beta follower of gold and has an additional supply-demand squeeze. Demand is rising from AI, data centers, EVs, and space, while supply is tight and China controls about 60% of global refining and has introduced export licensing. This supports sharp rallies and shallow corrections.
Physical gold favored when kimchi premium low.
For Korean investors, the choice between physical gold and gold ETFs should depend on the local physical premium. When the kimchi premium is excessive, use ETFs to avoid overpaying while supply normalizes; when it is normal or low, as it was around 0.71%, physical gold or the KRX gold market is more advantageous because it can later capture premium gains.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 10, 2026, features Cho Gyu-won discussing USD, GLD, SILVER, GOLD, KRX Gold Market. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Cho Gyu-won  · Tickers: USD, GLD, SILVER, GOLD, KRX Gold Market