Great Companies Have Become Reasonably Priced | Executive Director Park Se-ik and Chesley Investment Advisory

Great companies have become reasonably priced | Executive Director Park Se-ik & Chesley Investment Advisory [Morning Brief / 26.09.18.Fri]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 18, 2026 at 02:00  |  22:40  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Seon-gu — Manager

Summary

Park Se-ik and the Chesley team discuss Samsung Electro-Mechanics as a reasonably valued growth stock, with a valuation debate around its MLCC, substrate, and camera-module businesses. They also cover the AI-driven semiconductor upcycle, Applied Materials' valuation reset, and why lower inflation and rates could favor Korean quality growth stocks. The discussion emphasizes buying great companies at reasonable prices and valuing stocks before purchase.

  • Samsung Electro-Mechanics earnings estimates are rising, but valuation depends on separating MLCC, substrate, and camera-module businesses.
  • The AI capex race and expected growth of the global semiconductor market to $3.2 trillion by 2030 support the semiconductor supply chain.
  • Applied Materials is presented as a quality company after its P/E fell from 48x to about 23x.
  • Low-end package substrate names like Haesung DS may lag high-end FCCSP/FC-BGA products.
  • Falling inflation and rates could make Korean equities and quality growth stocks more attractive.
  • The speakers stress valuation discipline and buying great companies at reasonable prices.
  • The Fed's data-dependent approach and weak Korean commercial real estate are noted as macro observations.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 0:00
Samsung Electro-Mechanics offers 50% valuation upside.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is a long-term growth story exposed to robots, autonomous driving, and EVs, and its earnings estimates are still rising. He argues the stock's fair market cap is around 150 trillion won using sum-of-the-parts valuation: MLCC at about 30x, substrate at about 40x, and no-growth camera modules at about 10x. That implies roughly 50% upside from the current 100 trillion won market cap, and he views the analyst target of 3 million won as too aggressive because applying a single 85x P/E to total earnings is not appropriate.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 3:57
AI race sustains semiconductor demand growth.
The AI race between the U.S., China, and major companies forces continued investment, so periods of noise are buying opportunities and periods without noise require caution. He expects the global semiconductor market to grow from around 800 trillion won to 3.2 trillion dollars, or roughly 4,000 trillion won, by 2030, and companies with unique competitiveness in the ecosystem should benefit.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 7:51
Haesung DS misses high-end substrate cycle.
Within package substrates, he says only high-value FCCSP/FC-BGA products are moving, while lower-value MCP and similar products are not. He names Haesung DS as a case that is unlikely to enjoy the same 15x P/E re-rating as in the untact cycle because its exposure is skewed to low-end substrate products.
Seon-gu Manager 9:09
Next-year and 2028 earnings beat consensus.
He thinks the 5 trillion won next-year operating profit estimate for Samsung Electro-Mechanics is too conservative and sees more than 6 trillion won as possible. For 2028, while consensus expects a decline, the company is looking at 8.5-9 trillion won; at a 100 trillion won market cap, that would make the stock no longer expensive looking beyond the next year.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 14:13
Applied Materials cheap after valuation reset.
Applied Materials' P/E has fallen from 48x to around 23x while its operating margin remains stable at 35-40%, and its chart has moved similarly to SK hynix. With the global semiconductor market expanding, he presents it as a quality company whose valuation has become reasonable.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 22:17
Korean equities attractive as rates decline.
He argues that inflation will be contained because the offline economy is weak and AI/robotics are replacing labor, so rates should fall. Korean equities have become cheaper due to high rates, and investors should use valuation work to buy great companies at reasonable prices rather than chase them at high valuations.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published September 18, 2026, features Park Se-ik, Seon-gu discussing 009150.KS, SMH, 195870.KS, AMAT, Korean equities. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik, Seon-gu  · Tickers: 009150.KS, SMH, 195870.KS, AMAT, Korean equities