Summary
Kevin Hassett discusses the strong May jobs report and argues the market is wrong to price in a Fed rate hike, attributing high growth to the Trump administration's supply-side policies. He also comments on oil price disruptions related to Iran and sees lower risk premiums ahead.
- U.S. added 172,000 jobs in May, beating estimates.
- Hassett says the market's pricing of a rate hike is 'terribly wrong'.
- He argues oil-driven inflation is temporary and supply-side boom allows growth without inflation.
- Construction employment rising as factories are built under the Big Beautiful Bill.
- Hassett expects manufacturing jobs to follow construction.
- He warns of short-term oil disruption from Iran but expects resolution soon.
- Risk premiums should fall once Iran nuclear threat is removed.