China’s acquisition spree, TikTok reaches U.S survival deal, Tech Giants hit by spying | Diet TBPN

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 24, 2026 at 02:32  |  31:25  |  TBPN
Speakers
John Coogan — Co-Host, TBPN

Summary

The hosts discuss China's role as both the world's factory and a growing consumer market, highlighting its huge semiconductor import deficit, energy and commodity imports, and the rise of domestic luxury brands at the expense of European luxury. They also cover Sony selling a majority stake in its TV business to TCL, TikTok's new US joint venture with Oracle, and the DOJ probe into Deel and Rippling. Later segments touch on AI ad monetization, quantum risk to crypto, Vimeo layoffs, Substack TV, and Waymo vandalism.

  • John Coogan examines what China imports, noting semiconductors are its largest trade deficit.
  • Chinese domestic luxury brands are gaining share as European luxury imports fall.
  • Sony is selling 51% of its TV business to TCL, continuing a trend of Chinese manufacturers buying Western brands.
  • TikTok reaches a US joint venture deal with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX.
  • The DOJ opens a criminal probe into Deel over alleged spying on Rippling.
  • AI monetization debate focuses on Google's ad infrastructure advantage over OpenAI.
  • Coinbase forms a quantum advisory board as hosts debate long-term blockchain risk.
  • Other topics include Vimeo layoffs, Substack TV, Buzz Balls, and Waymo vandalism.
Ideas
John Coogan Co-Host, TBPN 2:25
European luxury loses China share to domestic.
Chinese luxury imports from European conglomerates completely fell off a cliff in 2024, with imports down about 20%. Domestic Chinese luxury brands are on the rise, Gucci is closing around 18 stores, and local brands are taking share from Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Cartier, Bulgari, and Tiffany. This pressures European luxury conglomerates like LVMH and Kering.
John Coogan Co-Host, TBPN 2:36
Chinese luxury brand taking share from Europe.
Domestic Chinese luxury brands are on the rise, and Laopu Gold is now drawing from the same customer base as Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Cartier, Bulgari, and Tiffany. It is benefiting from Chinese consumers buying domestic luxury while European imports decline.
John Coogan Co-Host, TBPN 3:05
TCL buys Sony TV brand, manufacturing edge.
Sony is selling a 51% stake in its home entertainment and TV business to TCL, with TCL providing display technology and Sony retaining the brand. TCL has a stronger price-to-quality value proposition and competitive panel technology, and Chinese manufacturers are increasingly buying Western brand heritage because building iconic brands takes decades. The speaker sees this trend continuing but is unsure if Chinese manufacturers will ever make money, so it is a developing setup.
John Coogan Co-Host, TBPN 4:33
Avoid non-China manufacturers; China's supply chain wins.
China excels at quickly grinding down manufacturing learning curves and developing high-quality products at affordable prices, while brand creation takes decades. The speaker says he came away not wanting to invest in any manufacturing business in the rest of the world.
John Coogan Co-Host, TBPN 18:18
Google's ad infrastructure eases Gemini monetization.
OpenAI must build advertising infrastructure from scratch to monetize ads, while Google already has the ad platform, customer relationships with virtually any online advertiser, and the ability to flip the switch on ads in Gemini. This gives Google a much easier path to AI ad monetization.
Up Next

This TBPN video, published January 24, 2026, features John Coogan discussing LVMH, KER.PA, 6181.HK, 1070.HK, Non-China manufacturing, GOOG. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: John Coogan  · Tickers: LVMH, KER.PA, 6181.HK, 1070.HK, Non-China manufacturing, GOOG