Texas Instruments Earnings Announcement: Why Industrial Semiconductors Are Strong

텍사스 인스트루먼트 실적 발표...산업용 반도체 강한 이유는?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 28, 2026 at 01:54  |  22:07  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Choi Ho — Vice President
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Moon Ji-ho — Executive

Summary

The transcript reviews earnings from Texas Instruments and Seagate, highlighting industrial semiconductor recovery, data-center demand, and tight HDD supply. It also discusses Google's YouTube data advantage, the M7 rebound, upcoming mega-cap earnings, and a weaker dollar's positive implications for the Korean market. The main implication is that AI infrastructure demand remains strong across analog semis and storage.

  • Texas Instruments beat Q1 guidance on industrial and data-center demand, with EPS estimates likely to rise.
  • Seagate reported strong earnings and guided above consensus, citing structural HDD demand and tight supply.
  • Seagate and Western Digital's HDD duopoly could keep pricing and earnings momentum strong.
  • Google is framed as an AI/data winner due to YouTube's proprietary data and ad pricing power.
  • M7 performance was mixed, with Google outperforming while Tesla, Broadcom, and Apple lagged year-to-date.
  • Upcoming Microsoft, Tesla, and Meta earnings are seen as key for sustaining AI momentum.
  • The dollar index broke below 96, which the speaker views as positive for Korean equities.
  • January performance and stock picking were highlighted as important for identifying leadership.
Ideas
Choi Ho Vice President 0:10
Texas Instruments guidance beats on industrial recovery
Texas Instruments' Q4 results were roughly in line, but Q1 guidance came in above consensus with revenue midpoint of $4.4–4.7bn and EPS $1.20–1.44, prompting after-hours gains. Management said industrial semiconductor recovery continues, data center grew for a seventh straight quarter, order backlog is rising, auto semiconductor content per vehicle is increasing, and memory price hikes have not hurt demand. With EPS estimates likely revised upward and forward P/E around 30.9x, the stock is supported by improving industrial/data-center analog demand.
Choi Ho Vice President 0:24
Seagate benefits from structural HDD demand
Seagate's FQ2 results beat consensus with revenue $2.8bn (+22% YoY), gross margin 42.2%, adjusted operating margin 31.9%, and adjusted EPS up 53.2%. Management guided FQ3 revenue $2.8–3.0bn and EPS $3.2–3.4, above consensus, and said data center HDD demand is structurally strong, not a one-off cycle. High-capacity 3HAM is certified by all major cloud customers, long-term contracts extend through 2027 with 2028 discussions underway, and incremental revenue above $2.6bn can carry ~50% gross margin. With tight supply and improving mix, EPS momentum and ~26x P/E look justified.
Choi Ho Vice President 11:24
HDD duopoly benefits from tight supply
The HDD market is effectively a Seagate–Western Digital duopoly, and AI-driven data growth is tightening supply for high-capacity cold-storage drives. Because capacity and pricing are rising while the two suppliers control the market, their earnings can keep growing sequentially and year-over-year.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 18:56
YouTube data moat makes Google a leader
Google's YouTube is becoming a massive proprietary data and attention moat. As users spend more time on YouTube, ad pricing should rise; Gemini's ability to leverage YouTube video data gives Google an AI advantage over rivals like ChatGPT. This 'data is money' dynamic could allow Google to become the market-cap leader, similar to Apple after 2012.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 21:10
Weak dollar supports Korean market momentum
The U.S. dollar index broke below 96 to 95.9, a pattern similar to the 2017–18 transition, which has historically been positive for Korean equities. The speaker expects this to sustain positive momentum for the Korean market.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published January 28, 2026, features Choi Ho, Park Se-ik discussing TXN, STX, WDC, GOOGL, EWY. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Ho, Park Se-ik  · Tickers: TXN, STX, WDC, GOOGL, EWY