Inside the $1.2 Billion Endowment Playbook ft. Paul Chai | Allocator | Ep. 36

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 07, 2026 at 16:45  |  58:12  |  Top Traders Unplugged
Speakers
Paul Chai — CIO, Kansas State University Foundation

Summary

Paul Chai, CIO of the $1.2 billion Kansas State University Foundation, discusses endowment portfolio construction with host Alan Dunne. The conversation covers strategic asset allocation, the search for unconventional opportunities, and how a small team balances top-down discipline with bottom-up manager selection. Chai shares current investment plays in private energy equity and secondary markets, explains his use of multi-strategy hedge funds, and outlines why CTA strategies no longer fit the portfolio.

  • Endowment invests as a 'forever retiree' targeting 6% real return (8% nominal) through a 60% growth / 40% diversifying split.
  • Strategic asset allocation is reviewed every 3-5 years, optimized for multiple objectives rather than a single best answer.
  • The portfolio diverges from traditional 60/40 by substituting less liquid assets for bonds to improve diversification.
  • Capital outflows from traditional energy for non-economic reasons created a buying opportunity in private oil and gas equity.
  • Forced selling by large institutions due to endowment tax/illiquidity needs made secondary private equity attractive.
  • Multi-strategy pod shops are a core diversifier, offering uncorrelated absolute returns above 8% despite high fees.
  • CTA and managed futures strategies are avoided because their return drivers are seen as commoditized or too opaque to underwrite.
  • Manager selection focuses on grit (harmonious passion plus perseverance) and building a team that challenges biases.
Ideas
Paul Chai CIO, Kansas State University Foundation 25:31
Traditional energy equity offers compelling value.
Traditional oil and gas equity investments became compelling as capital fled the sector for non-economic reasons such as ESG pressures and governance constraints, causing fundraising difficulties. The team increased exposure to private energy equity a couple of years ago, favoring equity over credit because improved financing conditions made credit less attractive.
Paul Chai CIO, Kansas State University Foundation 26:45
Private equity secondaries benefit from forced sales.
Forced selling of high-quality private assets by large institutions due to endowment tax uncertainty, liquidity needs, and retail investor impatience created attractive secondary market opportunities. The team has been a net buyer in private equity secondaries over the last two years to capture discounted assets.
Paul Chai CIO, Kansas State University Foundation 33:26
Multi-strategy hedge funds deliver uncorrelated returns.
Multi-strategy hedge funds (pod shops) can generate absolute returns above 8% with high Sharpe ratios, low correlation, and stable streams. Despite high fees and occasional crowding risks, they play a core role in the diversifier bucket as a differentiated, absolute-return-oriented allocation.
Paul Chai CIO, Kansas State University Foundation 36:29
CTA strategies are challenging to underwrite.
CTA/managed futures strategies have become commoditized; return factors are easily replicated at lower cost, while less conventional CTAs resemble black boxes that are hard to underwrite. As a result, the endowment currently holds no allocation and finds it difficult to fit these strategies into the portfolio.
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This Top Traders Unplugged video, published August 07, 2026, features Paul Chai discussing XLE, PSP, Multi-strategy hedge funds, CTA/managed futures strategies. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Paul Chai  · Tickers: XLE, PSP, Multi-strategy hedge funds, CTA/managed futures strategies