Summary
John Cocke discusses the private credit market, rejecting doomer narratives and highlighting opportunities in non-sponsor lending and data center financing. He sees selective opportunity in publicly traded BDCs trading at a discount to NAV.
- Private credit default rates are likely to remain manageable, not systemic.
- Interval funds face pro-cyclical flows but not a liquidity crisis.
- Non-sponsor lending offers better recovery through covenants and asset-based structures.
- Data center loans backed by hyperscaler contracts are a growing asset class.
- Some public BDCs trade at a discount to NAV and may attract opportunistic capital.
- Private credit secondary market requires buying at a discount, not at par.
- Managers with closed-end fund structures may outperform interval funds.
- Institutional investors are looking for opportunities in the private credit dislocation.