Foreigners changed futures and options direction after Samsung Electronics earnings / Hot US aerospace stocks / How to find blockbuster ETFs a week earlier | Director Choi Chang-kyu

[#찐시황] 외인은 삼성전자 실적 후, 선물 옵션 방향을 ‘이렇게’ 바꿨다 / 미국에서 뜨는 우주항공주 / 남들보다 1주일 빨리 '대박 ETF' 찾는 법 | 최창규 이사
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 11, 2026 at 11:00  |  36:53  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Choi Chang-gyu — Director, NH Investment & Securities

Summary

Choi Chang-kyu reviews the week's US and Korean markets, focusing on soft-landing US data, semiconductor strength, and foreign futures/options positioning. He presents investment ideas in space/aerospace, critical-mineral miners, high-dividend ETFs, Samsung Electronics earnings, Nvidia's CES message, humanoid robots, and metaverse. He concludes that KOSPI downside is likely limited by program buying and Samsung buybacks, though short-term options positioning suggests caution.

  • US employment was soft but interpreted as a soft landing; semiconductor index strength led the US market.
  • KOSPI was strong on SK hynix, semiconductor equipment, defense, and consumer broadening.
  • Foreign futures turned net long; program buying and Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) buybacks support KOSPI downside.
  • Aerospace and space themes were highlighted via AST SpaceMobile and related ETFs.
  • Critical-mineral miners were presented as leveraged plays on silver, copper, tungsten, and antimony.
  • ETF standard-code data pointed to upcoming high-dividend and income products.
  • CES 2026 physical AI and humanoid robotics were seen as the next AI phase, while metaverse deserves another look.
  • Options positioning showed a bearish collar, implying short-term KOSPI 200 caution.
Ideas
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 1:41
Semiconductor strength leads US and Korean markets.
US employment was soft but not recessionary, supporting a soft-landing view, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 2.7% and led the US market. Intel, Micron, Broadcom, and semiconductor equipment names were strong, with Lam Research benefiting from a target-price hike and 2026 DRAM outlook. This semiconductor strength should positively affect the Korean market, including memory names such as Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) and SK hynix (000660.KS) and semiconductor equipment.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 8:20
Watch AST SpaceMobile if space trend grows.
AST SpaceMobile builds a direct-to-device satellite cellular network that connects 4G/5G to smartphones without modification, working through telecom partnerships. It targets commercial service launch in 2026, and its stock corrected from around $100 to about $85 after valuation concerns. If space/aerospace becomes a major trend, satellite network service companies like AST should be watched.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 10:08
Space ETFs offer diversified aerospace exposure.
Investors wanting aerospace/space exposure can use dedicated ETFs across the US, Korea, and global markets and mine their constituents for ideas. Named vehicles include the 1Q US Aerospace Tech ETF, PLUS Aerospace & UAM ETF, and TIMEfolio Global Space Tech & Defense ETF; smaller holdings may offer better stock ideas than the largest constituents.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 12:13
Silver rally driven by critical-mineral demand.
Silver prices have risen sharply, and Trump's focus on critical minerals/rare earths and energy supports the broader resource theme. Direct silver investment is acceptable, but mining equities can provide leverage to the trend.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 13:19
Hecla better if silver consolidates.
Hecla Mining often produces silver as a byproduct alongside lead, zinc, and gold, so it has less pure silver leverage than First Majestic. If silver corrects or consolidates after its surge, focusing on Hecla may be better.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 13:58
Silvercorp diversifies metal mix earnings.
Silvercorp Metals has a mixed metals profile across silver, gold, lead, and zinc, which can diversify earnings volatility and make it worth considering within the silver-mining theme.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 14:02
Copper benefits from AI infrastructure demand.
Copper is viewed as the metal most needed in the AI era because of AI infrastructure, power grids, and electrification demand, so direct copper investment is a valid idea.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 14:13
Freeport offers long-life copper AI leverage.
Freeport-McMoRan is a major copper beneficiary with large, long-life assets, including Grasberg in Indonesia and mines in the Americas, giving it geographic diversification. The longer the AI-related copper trend lasts, the more favorable Freeport becomes.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 14:44
Almonty tungsten restart is key catalyst.
Tungsten is gaining attention because it is used heavily in aerospace, and Almonty Industries is a key name due to the restart and commercialization of the Sangdong tungsten mine in Korea.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 14:56
US Antimony benefits as strategic mineral.
Antimony is a strategic material used in defense, batteries, and flame retardants. US Antimony is highlighted for its US-based production base, giving it a strategic-supply advantage.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:41
High-dividend ETF launches signal income focus.
ETF issuers are preparing high-dividend and income products because AI, semiconductor, and humanoid robot themes are already saturated. Recently code-registered ETFs include Woori Super Large IB Financial Holding, PLUS US High Dividend, ACE REITs Real Estate Income, KODEX Shareholder Return High Dividend, and SOL Dividend Propensity Top, suggesting a shift toward defensive income exposure.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 18:47
Samsung earnings low-end, watch foundry details.
Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) provisional operating profit came in near the low end of consensus (around 20 trillion won versus an upper consensus near 22 trillion), causing sell-on-news pressure. Detailed results on January 29 and foundry trends are key to watch; during the buyback period, Samsung-specific supply may not be good because large institutional holders may use the buyback to reduce positions.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 19:38
Nvidia ecosystem lock-in lowers competitive cost.
At CES 2026, Nvidia emphasized expanding physical AI and locking customers into its ecosystem from hardware into software and learning. The lower cost of Vera Rubin was seen as targeting Google's TPU, strengthening Nvidia's competitive position.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 20:42
Physical AI and humanoid robots expand.
CES 2026 highlighted physical AI expansion, and humanoid robots are gaining traction in controlled B2B and manufacturing environments even though home use remains difficult. AI is moving from chatbots into daily life through humanoid robots, physical AI, and autonomous driving; Korean humanoid robot ETFs are already seeing inflows.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 21:00
Metaverse revisited as AI bottlenecks ease.
Metaverse adoption stalled because device prices were high, content was insufficient, and there was no clear killer app. However, as AI advances, bottlenecks in displays, optics, tracking, UX, real-time rendering, content toolchains, and networks may be resolved, with improvements in resolution, tracking, software, and enterprise spatial computing. The metaverse deserves another look.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 24:31
KOSPI supported by futures, programs, buybacks.
Last week KOSPI was very strong, led by SK hynix (000660.KS) and semiconductor equipment and broadening into defense, consumer, cosmetics, and other sectors. Foreigners turned to net buying in KOSPI 200 futures after early-January selling, futures traded above theoretical value, triggering arbitrage program buying, and Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) buybacks are expected to support the downside. He concludes the market is unlikely to fall sharply.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 25:04
KOSDAQ may rebound on healthcare events.
KOSDAQ rose only slightly as secondary-battery contract cancellations weighed, but JP Morgan Healthcare and other events are pending, so KOSDAQ is worth expecting this week.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 28:46
Defense demand favors Hanwha and defense ETFs.
Trump's push to increase the US defense budget and rising geopolitical risks support defense stocks. Hanwha Aerospace (012450.KS) rose 11% and is breaking to new highs after a three-month consolidation; if its price feels too high, investors can gain exposure through defense ETFs such as SOL K Defense, PLUS Hanwha Group, and TIGER K Defense & Space, which hold meaningful Hanwha Aerospace weights.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 34:52
Bearish collar signals KOSPI 200 caution.
After the January 8 options expiry, the estimated foreign options position on January 9 resembled a bearish collar: selling out-of-the-money calls and buying out-of-the-money puts. This suggests the market has risen a lot and may move sideways or fall sharply if it corrects, though it is only one day of data and should be monitored.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 11, 2026, features Choi Chang-gyu discussing SOX, SOXX, ASTS, 1Q US Aerospace Tech ETF, PLUS Aerospace & UAM ETF, TIMEfolio Global Space Tech & Defense ETF, SILVER, HL, SVM, COPPER, FCX, ALM, UAMY, Woori Super Large IB Financial Holding ETF, PLUS US High Dividend ETF, ACE REITs Real Estate Income ETF, KODEX Shareholder Return High Dividend ETF, SOL Dividend Propensity Top ETF, 005930.KS, NVDA, TIGER Korea Humanoid Robot ETF, Humanoid robotics, METAVERSE, EWY, KOSDAQ, PLUS Hanwha Group ETF, TIGER K Defense & Space ETF, 012450.KS, SOL K Defense ETF, KOSPI 200. 19 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Chang-gyu  · Tickers: SOX, SOXX, ASTS, 1Q US Aerospace Tech ETF, PLUS Aerospace & UAM ETF, TIMEfolio Global Space Tech & Defense ETF, SILVER, HL, SVM, COPPER, FCX, ALM, UAMY, Woori Super Large IB Financial Holding ETF, PLUS US High Dividend ETF, ACE REITs Real Estate Income ETF, KODEX Shareholder Return High Dividend ETF, SOL Dividend Propensity Top ETF, 005930.KS, NVDA, TIGER Korea Humanoid Robot ETF, Humanoid robotics, METAVERSE, EWY, KOSDAQ, PLUS Hanwha Group ETF, TIGER K Defense & Space ETF, 012450.KS, SOL K Defense ETF, KOSPI 200