What Happened... Why Global Central Banks Are Hoarding the Most Gold in 70 Years Since 2022 | CEO Jo Gyoo-won

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 29, 2026 at 13:00  |  22:45  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers

Summary

Gold and silver specialist Jo Gyoo-won explains why global central banks are buying gold at record levels since 2022, arguing that the shift reflects eroding trust in the U.S. dollar and a broader move from efficiency to security in reserve management. He also lays out a bullish silver supply-shortage case driven by industrial demand and depleted inventories. He recommends favoring physical metal over paper instruments, reducing long-term U.S. Treasury exposure, and using roughly a 10% gold allocation with a smaller silver add.

  • Central banks flipped from selling to buying gold after 2008 QE and accelerated after the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict.
  • Dollar reserves are increasingly viewed as geopolitical risk, making gold the preferred neutral reserve asset.
  • Mineable gold supply may be largely exhausted in about 20 years, limiting production growth.
  • Silver remains in a multi-year supply deficit, with inventories down about 70% and industrial demand rising.
  • Basel III and market behavior favor directly held physical gold and silver over ETFs and futures.
  • US government debt and currency debasement argue for reducing long-term U.S. Treasury exposure.
  • A rough portfolio framework is about 10% gold plus a smaller silver allocation.
Ideas
Central banks are structurally buying gold.
Global central banks shifted from selling gold to aggressively buying it after 2008 QE expanded fiat supply, then accelerated to record purchases after the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict. They now view the U.S. dollar not just as unattractive but as a geopolitical risk because dollar reserves can be weaponized, leaving gold as the only neutral 5,000-year store-of-value alternative. This is a major paradigm shift toward gold.
Reduce US Treasuries as dollar weakens.
US government debt is around $40 trillion, about 120% of GDP, and heavily indebted governments historically reduce real debt by debasing the currency rather than raising taxes or cutting spending enough. This means the dollar will weaken over time and long-term US Treasury holdings become risky, so investors should reduce US Treasury exposure. Ray Dalio is also recommending diversification away from US government bonds.
Silver shortage driven by industrial demand.
Silver is in a structural supply shortage because it is mined mostly as a byproduct of gold, copper, and zinc, and accessible silver could be exhausted in about 17 years. Industrial demand from EVs, 5G, AI, data centers, and satellites is hitting record highs while supply has run deficits for six years, causing London and COMEX silver inventories to fall about 70% from their peak. A visible supply crunch may be approaching.
Prefer physical metals over paper claims.
In a period of eroding trust, paper instruments such as ETFs and futures are not evaluated as safe collateral. Basel III now recognizes only directly held physical gold as tier 1 capital, and JPMorgan is pulling physical silver from COMEX into its own vaults because counterparties may fail to deliver. Investors should therefore favor directly held physical gold and silver over paper claims.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published August 29, 2026, features Cho Gyu-won discussing GLD, USD, TLT, SILVER, GOLD, SLV. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Cho Gyu-won  · Tickers: GLD, USD, TLT, SILVER, GOLD, SLV