Fed Holds Rates; Samsung Chip Profit Soars | The Asia Trade 1/29/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 29, 2026 at 05:06  |  1:35:02  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Mandeep Singh — Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Sylvia Jablonski — Chief Investment Officer, Defiance ETFs
David Finnerty — Editor, CoinDesk
Sangmi — Asian Equities Reporter, Bloomberg
Dana — Senior Reporter, Bloomberg
David Chao — Global Market Strategist, Invesco
Wei Sun — Principal AI Analyst, Counterpoint Research
Jeanette Garretty — Chief Economist, Robertson Stephens
Shery Ahn — Anchor, Bloomberg Television
Avril Hong — Reporter, Bloomberg Markets
Minmin — China Correspondent, Bloomberg

Summary

The Fed held rates steady with Powell pointing to a stabilizing labor market, while Waller dissented for a cut. Big tech earnings showed heavy AI capex, with Meta and IBM rising while Microsoft slipped on spending and OpenAI concerns. Samsung and SK hynix reported record AI-memory-driven results, lifting Korean and Japanese chip-related shares. Guests favored AI infrastructure and memory, saw a weaker dollar bias, and highlighted gold, EM, Indonesia, and Nvidia's China re-entry.

  • Fed held rates steady; Powell cited labor-market stabilization, and Waller dissented for a cut.
  • Big tech earnings centered on AI capex, with mixed market reactions for Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla.
  • Samsung and SK hynix posted record AI-memory results, boosting Korean equities and chip suppliers.
  • Analysts favored AI infrastructure and memory chips, while noting ROI and valuation risks.
  • FX strategists saw traders biased toward a weaker dollar and highlighted the Australian dollar.
  • Gold and silver hit record levels, and oil rose on Iran geopolitical tensions.
  • David Chao favored EM, Indonesia, Asian equities, and gold; Wei Sun saw Nvidia regaining China share.
Ideas
Mandeep Singh Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 11:20
Meta capex concerns persist; AI traction unproven.
Meta's AI capex concerns are not fully allayed because 2026 capex will be almost 50% of revenue, but AI spending is already helping core engagement with time spent up 30%; investors still need a leap of faith that new AI products gain traction.
Mandeep Singh Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 12:20
Tesla xAI bet aims at AI layer.
Tesla's $2B investment in xAI is part of a race to build a frontier intelligence layer that can be deployed as an assistant in its cars and humanoids, which could underpin future revenue, though execution remains speculative.
Mandeep Singh Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 13:16
Microsoft solid, but AI disruption concerns weigh.
Microsoft's Azure growth was solid at 39% versus 40%, but concerns center on its legacy on-premise business being disrupted by AI agents, its reliance on OpenAI, and lack of its own frontier model; the print was strong but expectations were higher.
Mandeep Singh Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 14:13
AI infrastructure build continues; spending remains heavy.
The AI infrastructure build is not slowing: all major tech companies are investing heavily this year, and the trend is clear, even though investors still need to see ROI on AI spending in coming quarters.
Sylvia Jablonski Chief Investment Officer, Defiance ETFs 17:51
AI infrastructure spending continues to broaden.
AI infrastructure spending continues to grow and broaden beyond chips and the Magnificent Seven; investors will watch ROI, but the build-out remains a durable theme.
Sylvia Jablonski Chief Investment Officer, Defiance ETFs 18:01
IBM benefits from quantum, AI infrastructure spend.
IBM had a favorable beat and raised future revenue expectations, helped by heavy investment in quantum and AI infrastructure; it is part of the broadening AI automation and quantum machine learning trade, though ROI still needs to be proven.
Sylvia Jablonski Chief Investment Officer, Defiance ETFs 18:46
Memory chips upside on supply-demand imbalance.
Memory chips have more upside because supply is below demand and companies across the S&P 500 ex-Magnificent 7 are investing in AI but cannot get memory chips fast enough to meet infrastructure goals.
Sylvia Jablonski Chief Investment Officer, Defiance ETFs 21:50
Gold, silver hedges see continued momentum.
Investors are using gold and silver as inflation and diversified-portfolio hedges; momentum and allocations to these metals could continue in the short term, with gold favored over crypto.
Sylvia Jablonski Chief Investment Officer, Defiance ETFs 22:25
AI infrastructure commodities, energy see tailwinds.
Commodities tied to AI infrastructure, especially energy and inputs needed to build out data centers and AI capacity, could see tailwinds and growth as the AI build-out continues.
David Finnerty Editor, CoinDesk 28:21
Traders biased short US dollar.
The dollar's bounce from Bessent's strong-dollar comments did not last; traders remain biased toward a weaker dollar and are looking for levels to short it, with the market expecting more Fed cuts down the line.
David Finnerty Editor, CoinDesk 28:48
Australian dollar supported by RBA divergence.
The Australian dollar has been trending positive despite Trump and Bessent comments, and it is supported by expected RBA rate hikes and monetary-policy divergence among G10 central banks.
Sangmi Asian Equities Reporter, Bloomberg 38:41
Samsung AI memory earnings support further upside.
Samsung's AI-memory-driven earnings, fivefold chip profit gain, record memory business, $2.5B buyback, on-track advanced chip deliveries to Nvidia, and expected DRAM/NAND price hikes support further upside despite the stock's huge rally.
Sangmi Asian Equities Reporter, Bloomberg 40:09
SK hynix leads HBM; demand strong.
SK hynix reported its strongest quarter ever, is the leading HBM supplier to Nvidia's AI accelerators, could be an exclusive supplier to Microsoft, and should benefit from surging HBM demand and declining inventory.
Sangmi Asian Equities Reporter, Bloomberg 41:07
KOSPI rally supported by chips, policy.
The Korean market has rallied strongly on AI chip leadership, and the government's KOSPI 5000 target plus broadening from blue chips to small caps supports further gains.
Sangmi Asian Equities Reporter, Bloomberg 41:57
Japanese chip suppliers boosted by ASML, memory.
ASML's strong earnings should support Japanese EUV-related names like Laser Tech, and expected strong earnings from the testing company plus Samsung/SK hynix results are a confidence boost for Japanese tech and Asian chip stocks.
Dana Senior Reporter, Bloomberg 58:55
Tesla shifts toward AI, robotics, robotaxi.
Tesla is signaling it is not a traditional carmaker: it is investing $2B in xAI, planning $20B capex, considering its own chip supply, and shifting Fremont production toward Optimus robots and robotaxi/transportation-as-a-service, though institutional investors may be lukewarm on the xAI investment.
David Chao Global Market Strategist, Invesco 63:50
Samsung, SK hynix see robust AI demand.
Samsung and SK hynix can see more upside because future AI services and apps may rely on lower-end semiconductor chips, and demand for those chips remains robust.
David Chao Global Market Strategist, Invesco 64:47
US dollar remains expensive; likely weakens.
The dollar remains expensive relative to Asian currencies and is still likely to weaken even without a Fed cut this time, which supports Asian assets and EM.
David Chao Global Market Strategist, Invesco 64:59
Asian easing cycle supports Asian equities.
Asian central banks still have room to cut rates because inflation is not as elevated as in other regions, leaving the region in an easing cycle that should be supportive for Asian equities.
David Chao Global Market Strategist, Invesco 66:49
Gold should do well in reflation.
In a reflationary environment driven by monetary and fiscal stimulus, equities are preferred over fixed income, but gold should continue to do well.
David Chao Global Market Strategist, Invesco 67:21
Indonesia attractive on low valuations, reflation.
Indonesia is attractive because pessimism is excessive, valuations are rock-bottom versus Asia, and its diversified cyclical, mining, staples, and consumer economy should benefit as Asia reflates.
David Chao Global Market Strategist, Invesco 68:47
EM may outperform on dollar, cuts, oil.
Emerging markets could outperform the US this year because the historical trifecta is in place: a weakening dollar, central banks cutting rates, and oil under $80 a barrel.
Wei Sun Principal AI Analyst, Counterpoint Research 73:54
AI memory demand persists through next year.
AI is driving high memory demand that is not a temporary trend and should continue through the whole next year, supporting memory chip demand.
Wei Sun Principal AI Analyst, Counterpoint Research 74:09
Big Tech wins in AI age.
Big tech will be a winner in the AI age: they are spending billions on capex, AI data centers, and chips while cutting operating costs, and some have advanced AI models as the fundamental layer for global AI applications.
Wei Sun Principal AI Analyst, Counterpoint Research 77:05
Nvidia regains China share; revenue upside.
Nvidia's China market share fell from 95% to zero but is recovering, and it could regain 10-25% share, bringing meaningful ongoing revenue upside into Nvidia's earnings and forecasts.
David Finnerty Editor, CoinDesk 85:50
Weaker dollar may lift long-end yields.
If the dollar continues to weaken, the correlation he is watching implies higher US yields, especially at the long end of the curve.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 29, 2026, features Mandeep Singh, Sylvia Jablonski, David Finnerty, Sangmi, Dana, David Chao, Wei Sun discussing META, TSLA, MSFT, AIQ, IBM, DRAM, GLD, SILVER, XLE, AI infrastructure commodities, USD, AUD, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, EWY, Japanese semiconductor equipment, AAXJ, EIDO, EEM, XLK, NVDA, US long-end Treasuries. 26 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Mandeep Singh, Sylvia Jablonski, David Finnerty, Sangmi, Dana, David Chao, Wei Sun  · Tickers: META, TSLA, MSFT, AIQ, IBM, DRAM, GLD, SILVER, XLE, AI infrastructure commodities, USD, AUD, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, EWY, Japanese semiconductor equipment, AAXJ, EIDO, EEM, XLK, NVDA, US long-end Treasuries