Fed's beige book shows economic activity increased at slight to modest pace in most districts

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 14, 2026 at 19:57  |  3:09  |  CNBC
Speakers
Rick Santelli — On-Air Editor, CNBC Business News

Summary

CNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, which described slight-to-modest growth, prices, and wages across most districts and pointed to a K-shaped consumer economy. He notes that fed funds futures show almost no chance of a January rate cut, while Treasury yields and the dollar show little reaction. Santelli also tracks the Dow's recovery from its earlier decline and suggests stocks may be reversing oversold conditions.

  • Fed Beige Book described slight-to-modest growth, prices, and wages.
  • Beige Book pointed to a K-shaped economy, with affluent consumers spending on luxury and travel while lower-income consumers are price-sensitive.
  • Fed funds futures priced virtually no chance of a January rate cut.
  • PPI came in hot, but the market largely ignored it.
  • Two-year yields hovered near 3.51% and 10-year yields near 4.13%.
  • The dollar index returned to roughly unchanged.
  • The Dow recovered from down about 230 points to down about 152 points.
  • Santelli suggested the stock market may be reversing some oversold selling.
Ideas
Rick Santelli On-Air Editor, CNBC Business News 0:35
No January rate cut likely.
Rick Santelli says fed funds futures now imply virtually no chance of a rate cut at the January Fed meeting, with probabilities rising from 3% to 5% after hot PPI. The Beige Book's slight-to-modest growth, prices, and wages reinforced the view that the Fed is unlikely to cut in January, making this a rate-market setup to monitor.
Rick Santelli On-Air Editor, CNBC Business News 2:56
Stocks bouncing after oversold decline.
Santelli notes the Dow was down about 230 points before the Beige Book, improved to down 166 when it hit the wires, and later was down 152 points. He says this dynamic continues and that the market is most likely reversing a little bit of overselling in stocks, implying a near-term bounce.
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This CNBC video, published January 14, 2026, features Rick Santelli discussing Fed funds futures, DJI. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Rick Santelli  · Tickers: Fed funds futures, DJI