The principle that called the 2018 top: How do stock masters behave? Park Se-ik, Senior Managing Director, Chesley Investment Advisory

2018년 고점을 맞힌 원칙, 주식 고수는 어떻게 행동하나?ㅣ체슬리투자자문 박세익 전무 [워매신박 / 26.09.15.화]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 15, 2026 at 10:00  |  22:31  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik recounts how a large investor called the 2018 market top and sold everything, using the story to argue for disciplined risk management and tactical cash during risky periods. He recommends preparing cash for July-September around U.S. midterm election risk, favors Korean semiconductor equipment/materials stocks or ETFs, and discusses debasement hedges like Bitcoin, gold, real estate and equities. He also reviews AI safety-regulation concerns, a TCM ETF manager's four-way portfolio, and says investors should wait before buying the Anthropic IPO.

  • Park Se-ik tells the story of an investor who sold all stocks near the 2018 peak and emphasizes disciplined execution.
  • He advises raising cash and avoiding the tape in July-September because of U.S. midterm election risk.
  • He favors Korean semiconductor equipment and materials stocks, or an ETF for investors who cannot pick names.
  • He relays a debasement trade in Bitcoin, digital credit, gold, real estate and equities as an inflation/currency-debasement hedge.
  • He suspects AI safety rules may serve incumbents trying to block new entrants.
  • He reviews a TCM ETF manager's four-way portfolio that replaces 60/40.
  • He says Anthropic IPO investors should wait until after listing, citing SpaceX's post-IPO spike and lockup-driven decline.
  • He mentions National Pension Service efforts to participate in the Anthropic IPO and limited retail allocation.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 4:08
Raise cash for third-quarter election risk.
Park warns that July through September, especially the third quarter around U.S. midterm elections, is the most dangerous period. He advises investors to avoid watching the tape, prepare cash, take a vacation, and have a concrete plan to rest rather than chase volatility.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 8:01
Korean semiconductor equipment materials look attractive.
Park says that in the current correction, roughly 80% of the stocks that fit the dragon/breakout criteria were semiconductor equipment and materials names. He views the group as attractive, and for investors who cannot select individual stocks, he endorses buying a Korean semiconductor equipment/materials ETF; he also notes active ETFs can be useful where available.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 17:40
Debasement hedges: Bitcoin, gold, real estate, stocks.
Park presents the debasement trade: because fiat money can be printed without limit, limited-supply assets such as Bitcoin, digital credit, and gold are used as hedges. He adds that Seoul apartment price gains are already part of this debasement trade and that stock investing is ultimately a way to hedge inflation and currency debasement.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 22:12
Wait for Anthropic IPO after listing.
On the Anthropic IPO, Park says retail investors will have difficulty getting direct allocation and that there is no reason to rush to buy at the listing. Using SpaceX's post-IPO pattern, where the price spiked for three days and then fell under lockup supply, he advises waiting until the IPO price is set and the stock lists before reassessing.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published September 15, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing CASH, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials stocks, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials ETF, BTC, GLD, Digital credit, Seoul apartment real estate, Equities, Anthropic IPO. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: CASH, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials stocks, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials ETF, BTC, GLD, Digital credit, Seoul apartment real estate, Equities, Anthropic IPO