Summary
Cho Hee-jin, a PB at Hana Securities, analyzes the Korean biotech sector and presents ABL Bio as a stock to study now for a potential Q4 rally. She details ABL Bio's brain shuttle platform technology, strong balance sheet, big pharma partnerships, and upcoming catalysts, while cautioning against buying immediately.
- Biotech sector rotated from platforms to self-trial companies after Alteogen shock, but is now returning to profitable platform firms.
- ABL Bio owns a proprietary brain shuttle technology (Grabody-B) with patent protection and multiple big pharma deals (Lilly, GSK, Sanofi).
- The company holds 180 billion won in cash and a self-owned building worth 150 billion won, minimizing funding risk.
- Stock has fallen ~70% from highs; a partner pipeline removal is a delay not a termination, with follow-up trials being prepared.
- Near-term catalysts: FDA meeting for pancreatic cancer next month, milestone payments, and KOSDAQ promotion system from January 2025.
- Speaker recommends watching ABL Bio and waiting for Q4 biotech momentum rather than entering at the current weak moment.