There is no endless decline...Conditions for an August stock market reversal | Myung Min-jun, Park Ga-young, Yoo Chang-hee [Stock Beginner Rescue Team]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 30, 2026 at 12:30  |  53:02  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Yoo Chang-hee — CEO

Summary

The video features Yoo Chang-hee, CEO of Newstar, discussing the deeply oversold Korean stock market and the potential for an August rebound. He explains that KOSPI's 34% monthly decline rivals historical extremes and sentiment is at its worst, but uncertainties will clear and catalysts may emerge. He points to defensive strength in bank stocks and KT&G, a possible SK hynix dividend catalyst, and recommends avoiding Samsung Electro-Mechanics.

  • KOSPI dropped 34% in July, one of the worst monthly declines in history, exceeding even the 2008 financial crisis pace.
  • Market sentiment has hit extreme fear, with forced margin selling and retail capitulation amplifying the sell-off.
  • The end of Big Tech earnings and the FOMC meeting removes key uncertainties going into August.
  • Potential positive catalysts include Korea's July export data and a possible dividend announcement from SK hynix.
  • Bank stocks and KT&G have held up well, showing defensive resilience in a collapsing market.
  • Samsung Electronics reaffirmed its plan to return 50% of free cash flow to shareholders, a positive signal.
  • Samsung Electro-Mechanics remains expensive and should be avoided or sold on any bounce.
  • Historical patterns suggest a strong mean-reverting bounce is likely after such extreme oversold conditions.
Ideas
Bank and KT&G stocks show defensive strength
Amid the broad market collapse, bank stocks such as KB Financial and Shinhan Financial, along with defensive names like KT&G, have held up well and are either maintaining support or hitting new highs. They represent the only sectors showing resilience and relative safety, making them attractive defensive holdings.
Avoid Samsung Electro-Mechanics until cheaper
Samsung Electro-Mechanics remains expensive even after the sell-off. Despite decent earnings, the stock crashed sharply, indicating structural weakness. Investors should not buy now; those holding should use any bounce to reduce exposure.
KOSPI set for August rebound after extreme oversold
KOSPI has plunged 34% in July, rivaling the worst monthly declines of the 2008 financial crisis, and investor sentiment is extremely pessimistic. By the end of July, major uncertainties such as Big Tech earnings and the FOMC meeting will have passed. August brings potential positive catalysts including Korea's July export data and a possible dividend announcement from SK hynix. Technically, the index is far below its 5-month moving average, which historically signals a strong mean-reverting bounce. The setup points to a meaningful rebound in August, with a target range of 6,500 to 6,700.
SK hynix may announce dividend, sparking recovery
SK hynix has fallen 55% from its peak and sentiment is deeply negative. However, around August 5 the company may announce a shareholder-friendly dividend policy—similar to Samsung's plan to return 50% of free cash flow—to help fund the acquisition of Solus Advanced Materials. Such a catalyst could spark a recovery in the heavily oversold stock.
Samsung Electronics oversold with strong dividends
Samsung Electronics has committed to returning 50% of free cash flow to shareholders, a strong positive signal. The stock is down 45% and extreme forced selling by retail investors has created a deeply oversold condition. The company's robust earnings power and shareholder return policy make it attractive at these levels.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published July 30, 2026, features Yoo Chang-hee discussing KB, 055550.KS, KT&G, 009150.KS, EWY, 000660.KS, 005930.KS. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Yoo Chang-hee  · Tickers: KB, 055550.KS, KT&G, 009150.KS, EWY, 000660.KS, 005930.KS