Chasing a rebound today? 'Unstable rise' according to trading volume

Chasing a rebound today? 'Unstable rise' according to trading volume | Hong Seon-ae, Jang Woojin, Geumsigong CEO [Yeouido Insight]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 23, 2026 at 09:30  |  39:12  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Jang Ho-jin — CEO, Geumsigong

Summary

On July 23, Korean markets rebounded broadly with low trading volume, led by AI data center and renewable energy stocks. Guest Jang Ho-jin, CEO of Geumsigong, views the rise as unstable due to insufficient volume and geopolitical risks. He highlights the AI data center power infrastructure theme as worth watching, expresses caution on semiconductor leaders pending stronger capex signals, and warns that US-Iran tensions could spike oil prices and derail the rally.

  • KOSPI and KOSDAQ rallied widely but trading volume remained low, raising sustainability concerns.
  • AI data center power infrastructure stocks surged on SK Group and GS Group data center announcements; theme worth monitoring.
  • Semiconductor two-top (Samsung Electronics, SK hynix) recovery is held back by underwhelming Alphabet capex increase and negative free cash flow.
  • Geopolitical risk from US-Iran conflict could block Hormuz and Red Sea, potentially sending oil above $100.
  • Oil price, low volume, and war risk make the speaker cautious about chasing the current rebound.
  • A decisive market uptrend would require de-escalation, dollar index decline below 100, and volume confirmation.
Ideas
Jang Ho-jin CEO, Geumsigong 6:11
Geopolitical risk could spike oil prices
Escalating US-Iran tensions and Pentagon activity signal a high probability of military strikes. If both the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea are blocked simultaneously, oil supply faces a severe disruption. Iran has threatened to hit refineries in retaliation, which could push oil prices above $100 and potentially to $160 in a worst-case scenario. This geopolitical risk is a major wildcard for markets and should be closely watched.
Jang Ho-jin CEO, Geumsigong 12:03
Semiconductor rally needs ROI confirmation first
Alphabet's capex increase of only 5-10% was underwhelming given semiconductor price rises, and its free cash flow turned negative, raising concerns about future funding for AI investment. Until big tech demonstrates clear ROI on AI capex and the capex acceleration becomes more convincing, semiconductor stocks (Samsung Electronics and SK hynix) are unlikely to enter a major bull run. The recent rally in these names lacks conviction and was barely positive.
Jang Ho-jin CEO, Geumsigong 18:16
KOSPI rally unstable on low volume
Today's KOSPI rally lacks trading volume, which has been declining and failed to break above 30 trillion won despite foreign buying. Low volume suggests the uptrend is not backed by conviction and may not be sustainable. Combined with elevated oil prices and war risk, the market environment is too uncertain to chase the rebound. The speaker would not buy now and prefers to wait for de-escalation and volume confirmation.
Jang Ho-jin CEO, Geumsigong 28:43
AI data center power theme to watch
AI data center construction in Korea is facing a power supply bottleneck that can only be solved by LNG or renewables, creating strong interest in power infrastructure and renewable energy stocks. The theme is gaining momentum as SK Group and GS Group announce large-scale data center projects. Investors should definitely monitor this theme, although short-term momentum may fluctuate.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published July 23, 2026, features Jang Ho-jin discussing USO, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, EWY, 010060.KS, Hyundai Solution, SK Gas, SK Telecom, SGC Energy, 006360.KS. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jang Ho-jin  · Tickers: USO, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, EWY, 010060.KS, Hyundai Solution, SK Gas, SK Telecom, SGC Energy, 006360.KS