Follow the Money All the Way to Carney's Canada

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 07, 2026 at 13:05  |  7:12  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Matt Winker — Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, Bloomberg

Summary

Matt Winkler explains that Canada is enjoying one of its greatest periods of overseas investment, with record inflows into stocks and bonds since Mark Carney became Prime Minister. Canadian equities have risen over 40%, outperforming all major markets, while its bond market benefits from falling inflation. Tariff tensions are shifting trade patterns, benefiting specific companies like Cenovus while hurting US wine exports.

  • Record foreign investment pouring into Canadian stocks and bonds, $183 billion in the past year.
  • Canadian equity market appreciated more than 40% since Mark Carney became PM, outperforming the top 10 global markets.
  • Canada's bond market is thriving as inflation trends lower, in contrast to the US and eurozone.
  • Cenovus Energy is a standout performer, tariff-exempt on US-bound energy exports, with 50% of revenue from the US.
  • Trade tensions have led Canadian provinces to remove American alcohol, severely hurting the California wine industry.
  • Canada's shift to German submarines (ThyssenKrupp) signals a deliberate diversification away from US military procurement.
  • Mark Carney's global reputation and reasonable policies are attracting worldwide partnership deals for Canada.
Ideas
Matt Winker Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, Bloomberg 0:25
Canada equities booming on record foreign inflows
Record foreign investment is pouring into Canadian stocks, with the Canadian equity market appreciating more than 40% and outperforming all of the ten largest stock markets since Mark Carney became Prime Minister in March 2025. The inflows and outperformance are driven by reasonable policies, Carney's global credibility, and Canada being perceived as a loved, stable destination akin to Switzerland.
Matt Winker Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, Bloomberg 1:07
Cenovus thrives on tariff-exempt US energy revenues
Cenovus Energy is a top performer on the Toronto Stock Exchange because 50% of its revenues come from the US and its energy exports are not subject to the tariffs, insulating it and allowing it to thrive while trade tensions hurt other sectors.
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