One simple rule, applied to everyone's calls at once — replayed through history to see if it made money.
On this page: Reading a card · The strategies · Baselines · The numbers · FAQ
Every strategy starts with $100 on day one. The card shows where that $100 ended up — for the strategy, for random picks, and for the S&P 500:
Press How it works ↓ on the card for the rule in one paragraph. The left column lists every variant — click to focus it, click several to compare.
All of them: up to 10 stocks, equal money in each, rebuilt daily, and all of them stick to liquid mega- and large-cap names (roughly $10B and up).
We compare bullish and bearish calls on every stock. Better-rated speakers count a little more. The 10 strongest stocks enter the book — bullish picks are bought, bearish picks are shorted.
A stock enters only when at least 3 top speakers agree to buy or short it. Fewer, stronger picks — but some days almost nothing qualifies, so one or two stocks can swing the whole curve. High highs, wild ride.
| Total | +81% = $100 → $181. |
| vs SPY | Minus what the S&P 500 did. Negative = an index fund won. |
| Beta | 3.0 = a 1% market day is a 3% day for this book — amplified market, not skill. |
| Sharpe | Return per unit of shaking. Above 1 decent, above 2 very good. |
| Max DD | Worst peak-to-bottom fall. −28% = a quarter of the money gone before recovery — the “could you have held on?” number. |
| Avg #pos | Near 10 = well filled; 2–3 = single stocks can swing everything. |
A different question: after a call, what does the stock do next, on average? Tens of thousands of calls, checked 5 and 20 trading days later. win rate = how often the call was right (50% is a coin flip); vs S&P 500 = beat the market, not just moved; t above 2 = unlikely to be luck. Gold rows — the day's top-50 speakers — are the headline. The same calls are also split by platform — X, YouTube, Reddit and Substack — so you can see where the edge actually lives.
Concentration. Consensus on a 1-day window sometimes holds one or two stocks — when they rip, the curve rockets; when they dump, it craters. Total return is where it ended; Max DD is what it cost emotionally to get there. Sharpe balances the two.
Speakers are long-biased, and each day's book is the 10 strongest leans — bullish leans dominate, so shorts almost never make the cut (typically under 1% of positions).
Everything rebuilds once a night, after the US close. Yesterday is the newest day you'll see.
Not from this page — it's descriptive. The point is measuring whether the voices are worth listening to, and which rule extracts the most from them.