unusual_whales 5.0 88 ideas

After 1 day
46%winrate
-0.0% avg
39W / 45L · 84/85 ideas
After 1 week
48%winrate
+0.7% avg
37W / 40L · 77/85 ideas
After 1 month
47%winrate
+3.2% avg
25W / 28L · 53/85 ideas
25 winning  /  28 losing  ·  53 positions (30d)
Net: +3.2%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
USO LONG $129.46 Apr 13
USO SHORT $126.70 Apr 10
USO LONG $126.43 Apr 09
MSFT LONG $372.67 Apr 09
USO LONG $129.48 Apr 09
USO LONG $128.85 Apr 09
USO LONG $137.70 Apr 07
QQQ SHORT $584.85 Apr 07
USO LONG $142.89 Apr 07
ITA SHORT $219.40 Apr 01
AAPL LONG $248.52 Mar 31
SPY LONG $630.40 Mar 30
SPY LONG $631.68 Mar 30
SPY SHORT $633.33 Mar 27
USO LONG $120.81 Mar 27
USO LONG $117.89 Mar 19
USO SHORT $119.67 Mar 19
ITA LONG $231.06 Mar 19
USO SHORT $120.65 Mar 18
USO SHORT $122.30 Mar 18
SPY SHORT $674.32 Mar 18
By sector
ETF
60 ideas +3.8%
Stock
25 ideas +1.3%
Commodity
3 ideas +9.2%
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO 25 ideas
75% W +24.6%
SPY 15 ideas
56% W +0.3%
ITA 8 ideas
0% W -9.7%
AAPL 6 ideas
50% W -0.4%
NVDA 3 ideas
100% W +8.7%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG +58.4%
An imminent attack on US bases in a key oil-producing region is a major catalyst for a spike in crude prices due to fear...
Feb 28
WTI LONG +27.7%
Now this is unusual. This wallet has put thousands on expecting crude oil to hit $100 by end of March. There is on...
Mar 06
OWL SHORT +23.3%
A permanent halt on redemptions is a major red flag for a fund manager, signaling severe liquidity or asset valuation pr...
Feb 19
Worst calls
WTI SHORT -27.7%
BREAKING: US Treasury eases oil sanctions on the Kremlin, allowing Indian refineries to buy the millions of barrels of R...
Mar 06
MRNA SHORT -22.6%
The CEO's statement signals a major strategic pivot away from a core R&D area due to profitability concerns, which negat...
Feb 13
USO SHORT -18.9%
A potential future US policy change to lift sanctions on Russian oil could increase global supply, creating a headwind f...
Mar 10
Long oil exposure (via USO or similar) due to an immediate physical supply disruption risk from the unprecedented U.S. naval blockade of the critical Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.
USO MED Apr 13, 18:52
"At least two oil and chemical tankers were forced to turn away from the Strait of Hormuz on Monday after the United States moved to enforce a naval blockade, according to maritime tracking data."
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 13, 2026 at 18:52
𝕏 @unusual_whales
A reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within two months would ease oil supply constraints and put downward pressure on oil prices.
USO MED Apr 10, 18:17
"Kevin Hassett: Strait of Hormuz can be opened within two months"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 10, 2026 at 18:17
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Geopolitical friction over control of the critical Strait of Hormuz threatens oil transit and introduces a new supply risk premium, which is bullish for oil prices.
USO MED Apr 09, 23:58
"Oil company executives are reaching out to the White House to 'protest allowing Iran to charge tolls through the strategic Strait of Hormuz as a condition of peace talks', per POLITICO"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 23:58
𝕏 @unusual_whales
A Congressman with access to classified cyber/AI intelligence and a former Microsoft executive background is making a large, leveraged bullish bet on MSFT, signaling high private conviction.
MSFT HIGH Apr 09, 17:34
"BREAKING: Representative Josh Gottheimer has disclosed up to $1 million in Microsoft call options expiring June 2026."
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 17:34
𝕏 @unusual_whales
A significant tariff on Iran would likely constrain global oil supply, driving crude oil prices higher.
USO HIGH Apr 09, 15:17
"Kevin Hassett: Trump has the power to impose a 50% Iran-related tariff."
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 15:17
𝕏 @unusual_whales
A restriction on tanker traffic through a critical oil chokepoint threatens supply and could drive oil prices higher.
USO MED Apr 09, 14:37
"Iran will reportedly only allow 15 vessels to pass per day through Strait of Hormuz, per Reuters"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 14:37
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Escalating military threats against regional oil and gas infrastructure create a tangible, forward-looking supply disruption risk, which is bullish for oil prices.
USO HIGH Apr 07, 20:39
"Iran's Top Joint Military Command: Will deal with infrastructure of US and its allies in the region in a way that will deprive them of the region's oil and gas for years."
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term / medium-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 20:39
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Unusually large and fresh put option volume in QQQ suggests smart money is positioning for a near-term decline in the Nasdaq.
QQQ MED Apr 07, 18:33
"$QQQ 588p 4/17 with a very large trade + follow on volume yesterday, nearly all of which resulted in new OI this morning."
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 18:33
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Long oil (USO) due to expected supply disruption and price inflation from a prolonged regional conflict involving Iran.
USO HIGH Apr 07, 15:37
"JPMorgan says US gas prices could soon jump above $5 a gallon if the Iran war drags on"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 07, 2026 at 15:37
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Expect pressure on major defense contractors due to a deepening rift in NATO alliance cohesion, which risks undermining collective defense initiatives and contracts.
ITA MED Apr 01, 00:31
"Donald Trump’s NATO allies are increasing resistance to getting involved in his Iran war, risking a deeper rupture in the already strained military bloc, per Bloomberg"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 01, 2026 at 00:31
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Buffett expresses a clear, forward-looking desire to increase his position in Apple, indicating a belief in its long-term value, but is currently deterred by market conditions.
AAPL MED Mar 31, 15:56
"Warren Buffett says he sold Apple too soon and would buy more of it, though not in this market, per CNBC"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 31, 2026 at 15:56
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Initiate or add to long positions in the S&P 500 as the ongoing market correction is expected to conclude soon.
SPY HIGH Mar 30, 23:58
"S&P 500 correction nears end stage, Morgan Stanley strategists has said."
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 30, 2026 at 23:58
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Long US equities (S&P 500) with a specific upside target, contingent on a favorable resolution to the Iran conflict in the near term.
SPY HIGH Mar 30, 21:58
"Venu Krishna, US equities strategy head at Barclays, raised his price target for the end of 2026 to 7,650, provided the war in Iran gets resolved in the next few month"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 30, 2026 at 21:58
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Short U.S. stocks (SPY) because sustained high oil prices (~$100) are expected to create macro headwinds that could drive an equity market decline.
SPY MED Mar 27, 22:31
"U.S. stocks could drop up to 10% if oil stays near $100 for several months, per Guggenheim"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 27, 2026 at 22:31
𝕏 @unusual_whales
Long oil based on a macro analyst forecast for significantly higher prices if the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz closure persist.
USO HIGH Mar 27, 13:17
"Oil may hit a record $200 a barrel if the Iran war drags on till June, with the Strait of Hormuz staying shut, Macquarie said"
𝕏 @unusual_whales ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 27, 2026 at 13:17
𝕏 @unusual_whales
unusual_whales | 88 trade ideas tracked | USO, SPY, ITA, AAPL, NVDA | Twitter | Buzzberg