u/WatchMyPolse

Reddit r/investing
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+128.8%
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 100%
90d 100%
Average Return +128.8% Long Return +128.8% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -6.7%
30d +6.5%
90d +55.7%
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Theme
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Long
Jan 24
$94.50
+128.8%
Long NBIS on backlog-driven revenue growth compressing valuation
The author recommends going long Nebius Group because a $20B+ contracted backlog should convert into recognized revenue, with 2026 revenue guidance of $3.45–7B and an ARR target of $7–9B, rapidly compressing the sales multiple. Catalysts include the January 2026 AI Cloud 3.1 launch, revised 2026 contracted power capacity target from 1 GW to 2.5 GW, and multi-year agreements with Microsoft and Meta. The main stated risk is that skeptics cite the current ~50x price-to-sales multiple as a barrier to entry, though the author argues revenue growth will shrink the denominator.
NeoCloud
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u/WatchMyPolse has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: NBIS.

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