u/VeraxEthos

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+205.0%
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d
30d
90d
Average Return +205.0% Long Return +205.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d
30d
90d
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Long
Jan 23
$7.18
+205.0%
Distressed Tullow Oil refinancing could trigger 2-7x rerating
The author argues Tullow Oil is a distressed deep-value play trading at roughly £100m market cap on over $1bn revenue, with equity priced as if the company will go bust before 2026. The core catalyst is refinancing without dilution, which would remove existential risk and allow the stock to rerate 2-3x in a base recovery or 4-7x if oil spikes above $90 and debt falls quickly. The author notes Jubilee infill wells are working again at over 10kbpd per well and that Ghana is economically incentivised to keep Tullow operating. The main stated risk is dilution causing equity pain, making this a binary outcome play rather than a buy-and-forget stock.
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u/VeraxEthos has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: TLW.L.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology