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u/Unique-Hurry-6961

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since May 2026
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 2
90d 2
Best Calls
MU long +25.0%
NVDA short +5.0%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
NVDA ×1
MU ×1
Recent Calls
NVDA short 3 weeks ago
MU long 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d —
90d —
Average Return +15.0% Long Return +25.0% Short Return +5.0%
Average Return
7d -0.5%
30d —
90d —
Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
MU Micron T... Micron Technology, Inc.
Long
May 30
$971.00
+25.0%
Memory has only 3 players (MU, SK Hynix, Samsung); HBM yields are low, margins at 75%, and demand is infinite from AI, robotics, defense, and consumer devices. This supply-constrained oligopoly combined with exploding demand (every hyperscaler, robot, car needs MU) creates a structural pricing power that is not reflected in MU's cheap P/E. Buy MU for a multi-year compounder as the "floor" (non-AI revenue) is already diversified, and HBM adds exponential upside. Cyclical memory downturn (though author argues infinite demand changes the cycle); technology disruption from 3D X-DRAM or Z-angle (years away); geopolitics (China/Taiwan tensions); oversupply if competitors overbuild.
Memory has only 3 players (MU, SK Hynix, Samsung); HBM yields are low, margins at 75%, and demand is infinite from AI, robotics, defense, and consumer devices. This supply-constrained oligopoly combined with exploding demand (every hyperscaler, robot, car needs MU) creates a structural pricing power that is not reflected in MU's cheap P/E. Buy MU for a multi-year compounder as the "floor" (non-AI revenue) is already diversified, and HBM adds exponential upside. Cyclical memory downturn (though author argues infinite demand changes the cycle); technology disruption from 3D X-DRAM or Z-angle (years away); geopolitics (China/Taiwan tensions); oversupply if competitors overbuild.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
NVDA NVIDIA C... NVIDIA Corporation
Short
May 30
$211.14
+5.0%
Hyperscalers (Google, Amazon, Meta) are building in-house AI chips (TPU, Trainium, MTIA) that cost 3-4x less than NVDA's, and OpenAI is developing CUDA alternatives. Both software and hardware moats are eroding. The market still values NVDA as the sole AI beneficiary, ignoring that memory (MU) is equally essential and that NVDA's customers are actively escaping its ecosystem. NVDA is overvalued relative to its true competitive position; a short position can benefit as reality catches up with the narrative. NVDA's software ecosystem (CUDA) still dominates; hyperscaler chips may take years to scale; inference shift could still favor NVDA; short squeeze risk.
Hyperscalers (Google, Amazon, Meta) are building in-house AI chips (TPU, Trainium, MTIA) that cost 3-4x less than NVDA's, and OpenAI is developing CUDA alternatives. Both software and hardware moats are eroding. The market still values NVDA as the sole AI beneficiary, ignoring that memory (MU) is equally essential and that NVDA's customers are actively escaping its ecosystem. NVDA is overvalued relative to its true competitive position; a short position can benefit as reality catches up with the narrative. NVDA's software ecosystem (CUDA) still dominates; hyperscaler chips may take years to scale; inference shift could still favor NVDA; short squeeze risk.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
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u/Unique-Hurry-6961 has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: NVDA, MU.