u/Tedious-Butcher

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jun 2026
Calls 3 2 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 2
30d 3
90d 3
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
CRM long -19.6%
Most Mentioned
CRM ×2
IGV ×1
NOW ×1
Recent Calls
IGV long 1 day ago
NOW long 1 day ago
CRM long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 0% Long 3 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d
90d
Average Return -6.5% Long Return -6.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -12.1%
30d
90d
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 05
$188.75
-19.6%
Author claims CRM is in the golden bottom zone based on RSI, EMA, and MACD indicators showing accumulation. Technical setup implies a low-risk entry with potential upside breakout; DCA if dip >20%. Buy on current weakness with expectation of short-to-medium term breakout. Broader market sell-off; false signal; stock could continue sideways or dip further. TICKER - PYPL - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: Same technical indicators applied to PYPL indicate bottom zone and accumulation. Historically, such setups precede breakouts; current risk/reward attractive. Long bias on technical bounce play. Company-specific headwinds; earnings miss; continued downtrend. TICKER - ADBE - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: ADBE listed as one of the stocks in the golden bottom zone per daily/weekly charts. Consistent with other names; bottoming pattern suggests reversal. Long entry on technical bottom with stop-loss management. AI competition; sector rotation; failure to hold support. TICKER - MA - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: MA included in the list; technical indicators show bottom zone. Mastercard is a high-quality name; technical setup adds tactical opportunity. Buy on weakness with expectation of mean reversion. Regulatory risks; consumer spending slowdown; macro headwinds. TICKER - NOW - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: ServiceNow is identified as being at the bottom on daily and weekly charts. Technical bottom plus positive accumulation suggests a reversal trade. Long based on indicator confluence; potential for 2-3x if breakout succeeds. IT spending slowdown; valuation; failed breakout leads to further decline.
Author claims CRM is in the golden bottom zone based on RSI, EMA, and MACD indicators showing accumulation. Technical setup implies a low-risk entry with potential upside breakout; DCA if dip >20%. Buy on current weakness with expectation of short-to-medium term breakout. Broader market sell-off; false signal; stock could continue sideways or dip further. TICKER - PYPL - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: Same technical indicators applied to PYPL indicate bottom zone and accumulation. Historically, such setups precede breakouts; current risk/reward attractive. Long bias on technical bounce play. Company-specific headwinds; earnings miss; continued downtrend. TICKER - ADBE - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: ADBE listed as one of the stocks in the golden bottom zone per daily/weekly charts. Consistent with other names; bottoming pattern suggests reversal. Long entry on technical bottom with stop-loss management. AI competition; sector rotation; failure to hold support. TICKER - MA - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: MA included in the list; technical indicators show bottom zone. Mastercard is a high-quality name; technical setup adds tactical opportunity. Buy on weakness with expectation of mean reversion. Regulatory risks; consumer spending slowdown; macro headwinds. TICKER - NOW - LONG | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/Tedious-Butcher Thesis: ServiceNow is identified as being at the bottom on daily and weekly charts. Technical bottom plus positive accumulation suggests a reversal trade. Long based on indicator confluence; potential for 2-3x if breakout succeeds. IT spending slowdown; valuation; failed breakout leads to further decline.
AI/Semi
Long
Jun 20
$89.09
+0.0%
The author’s argument applies broadly across enterprise SaaS, not just a single ticker. If the Saaspocalypse is a scam, the entire software ETF is undervalued relative to the disruption narrative. IGV offers a diversified bet on the thesis that established SaaS companies will survive and thrive. Excessive valuations and lower growth (top comment) could still pressure the sector, regardless of AI disruption.
The author’s argument applies broadly across enterprise SaaS, not just a single ticker. If the Saaspocalypse is a scam, the entire software ETF is undervalued relative to the disruption narrative. IGV offers a diversified bet on the thesis that established SaaS companies will survive and thrive. Excessive valuations and lower growth (top comment) could still pressure the sector, regardless of AI disruption.
AI/Semi
Long
Jun 20
$95.04
+0.0%
ServiceNow’s workflow automation is structurally complex, requiring years of refinement and domain expertise. The market may be over‑penalising NOW due to the Saaspocalypse panic, creating a buying opportunity. ServiceNow’s integrated platform and customer lock‑in make it hard to disrupt, aligning with the author’s view. A viral demo of a “vibe‑coded” ServiceNow clone (as joked about in comments) could trigger another panic sell‑off.
ServiceNow’s workflow automation is structurally complex, requiring years of refinement and domain expertise. The market may be over‑penalising NOW due to the Saaspocalypse panic, creating a buying opportunity. ServiceNow’s integrated platform and customer lock‑in make it hard to disrupt, aligning with the author’s view. A viral demo of a “vibe‑coded” ServiceNow clone (as joked about in comments) could trigger another panic sell‑off.
AI/Semi
Showing 3 of 3 picks · sorted by mentions

u/Tedious-Butcher has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: CRM, IGV, NOW.