US hub utilization is ~25%, per-hub revenue has grown 9% and 12% in the last two quarters, and US adjusted EBITDA margin reached 11.5% in Q1 2026. Operating leverage means incremental US revenue from existing hubs flows heavily to EBITDA and FCF, creating a repricing catalyst. At $3.18, the risk/reward skews positive; the author’s $7 target implies ~2.2x upside if the turnaround continues. Turnaround stalls, margins reverse, donut demand weakens, or high leverage (~5.5x) limits financial flexibility.
US hub utilization is ~25%, per-hub revenue has grown 9% and 12% in the last two quarters, and US adjusted EBITDA margin reached 11.5% in Q1 2026. Operating leverage means incremental US revenue from existing hubs flows heavily to EBITDA and FCF, creating a repricing catalyst. At $3.18, the risk/reward skews positive; the author’s $7 target implies ~2.2x upside if the turnaround continues. Turnaround stalls, margins reverse, donut demand weakens, or high leverage (~5.5x) limits financial flexibility.