u/SupermacsFastFood

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
3
Win Rate
66.7%
return
+27.3%
Calls 3 3 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 67% Long 3 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 33%
90d 67%
Average Return +27.3% Long Return +27.3% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -8.1%
30d -3.3%
90d +25.3%
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Result
Result
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Side
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First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 18
$13.12
-0.9%
Kyndryl undervalued, mission-critical bank IT, AI tailwinds, SEC issue selloff opportunity
Author claims Kyndryl trades at roughly 0.18–0.19x sales and about 3.5–4x forward P/E despite ~$15B trailing revenue, improving profitability, and cash flow, creating a deep value opportunity. The causal mechanism is its sticky, mission-critical IT infrastructure contracts with major European/Western banks plus AI/cloud partnerships with AWS, Microsoft, and Google driving $1B+ revenue growth. The catalyst is the recent SEC financial-reporting issue and related selloff, which the author says did not impact GAAP metrics and triggered forced institutional selling from automatic risk governance; the main stated issue/risk is the SEC reporting scrutiny, though the author views regulation as a positive moat.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jan 22
$19.18
+24.1%
Post-bankruptcy SiC play below cash value
The author argues Wolfspeed is a pure-play electrification infrastructure bet supplying silicon carbide (SiC) for EVs, grids, data centers and industrial power. Credit is de-risked after emerging from bankruptcy with $4bn of debt wiped out and converted to new equity, and the company holds $6.5bn in assets plus $750M in CHIPs Act funding for a North Carolina facility. It trades below cash on the balance sheet with long-term supply agreements with GM and Toyota/Mercedes/Daimler EVs. The main stated risk is that operations and sales must materially improve, since profitability depends on ramping yields, volumes and customer adoption of a first-of-kind SiC manufacturing platform.
Power Semis
Long
Jan 18
$45.94
+58.7%
Deleveraging via Inmarsat FCF doubles equity value
The author argues Viasat trades near enterprise-value-to-revenue parity, so using Inmarsat-driven free cash flow to pay down acquisition debt creates substantial equity value without needing growth, breakthroughs, or multiple expansion. Incremental debt reduction flows almost entirely to equity holders, and a normalized deleveraging path alone could plausibly double equity value, implying roughly 100% return on equity from the current price under conservative assumptions. The author frames this as a value opportunity worth at least $12 billion.
Defense
Showing 3 of 3 calls · sorted by mentions

u/SupermacsFastFood has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: WOLF, KD, VSAT.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology