The U.S. is initiating a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil choke point. Halting traffic through the Strait will cause a massive supply shock in global energy markets, triggering inflation fears, economic disruption, and widespread market panic. Short the broader market (SPY) as geopolitical escalation and energy shocks typically drive severe risk-off behavior. The blockade is a bluff, gets resolved quickly, or the market prices in the event without a severe drawdown.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 12, 13:49
Key Points
['U.S. blockading Strait of Hormuz', 'Severe disruption to global energy supply', 'Author notes bears are back in control', 'High risk of broader economic recession', 'Geopolitical tensions with China/India rising']
April 12, 2026 at 13:49