Calls
1
u/richyfin
Reddit r/wallstreetbets
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-16.2%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 30
$2.29
-16.2%
Stock down 80% from 2024 high, trading at ~$2; CEO Mat stopped selling shares after last sale at $3.39 on 5/7/2026; company has 44% wholesale mortgage market share and P/E as low as 2.7 in bull case. Capitulation volume spike + insider buying halt + potential dividend reduction to fix leverage → catalyst for mean reversion and value recognition. UWMC is a deeply undervalued mortgage originator with a strong moat, mispriced due to idiosyncratic CEO risk that is now fading, offering a high margin of safety. Mat re-engages stock sales, margin call forces forced selling, mortgage rates collapse (hurting MSR value), or dividend not cut further strains balance sheet.
Stock down 80% from 2024 high, trading at ~$2; CEO Mat stopped selling shares after last sale at $3.39 on 5/7/2026; company has 44% wholesale mortgage market share and P/E as low as 2.7 in bull case. Capitulation volume spike + insider buying halt + potential dividend reduction to fix leverage → catalyst for mean reversion and value recognition. UWMC is a deeply undervalued mortgage originator with a strong moat, mispriced due to idiosyncratic CEO risk that is now fading, offering a high margin of safety. Mat re-engages stock sales, margin call forces forced selling, mortgage rates collapse (hurting MSR value), or dividend not cut further strains balance sheet.
Real Estate Finance
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u/richyfin has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: UWMC.
