u/reddituser2697

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls 4 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 4
Best Calls
CDNS long +17.4%
SAP long +5.0%
ADBE short +2.9%
Worst Calls
MSFT long -5.3%
Most Mentioned
MSFT ×1
SAP ×1
ADBE ×1
Recent Calls
CDNS long 1 month ago
SAP long 1 month ago
MSFT long 1 month ago
Win Rate 75% Long 3 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 25%
30d 50%
90d
Average Return +5.0% Long Return +5.7% Short Return +2.9%
Average Return
7d -0.8%
30d +3.7%
90d
Result
Result
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Apr 26
$245.44
+2.9%
The author claims ADBE’s management admitted its moat is that users would need retraining, which is weak in the current AI disruption environment. If enterprise seats migrate to OpenAI/Anthropic, ADBE’s revenue growth and margins could compress, creating a short opportunity. Bearish on ADBE due to perceived vulnerability to AI-driven disruption and a defensible but fragile moat. Adobe’s strong brand, existing enterprise contracts, and own AI integrations (Firefly) could mitigate disruption.
The author claims ADBE’s management admitted its moat is that users would need retraining, which is weak in the current AI disruption environment. If enterprise seats migrate to OpenAI/Anthropic, ADBE’s revenue growth and margins could compress, creating a short opportunity. Bearish on ADBE due to perceived vulnerability to AI-driven disruption and a defensible but fragile moat. Adobe’s strong brand, existing enterprise contracts, and own AI integrations (Firefly) could mitigate disruption.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 26
$332.89
+17.4%
Author explicitly cites CDNS as one of three stocks they like more. Cadence’s position in EDA software and design tools is highly specialized, likely less exposed to generic AI disruption than creative software. Mildly bullish as a niche high-moat software pick. Cyclical semiconductor spending; no direct thesis provided; author’s opinion is shallow.
Author explicitly cites CDNS as one of three stocks they like more. Cadence’s position in EDA software and design tools is highly specialized, likely less exposed to generic AI disruption than creative software. Mildly bullish as a niche high-moat software pick. Cyclical semiconductor spending; no direct thesis provided; author’s opinion is shallow.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 26
$424.62
-5.3%
Author explicitly states they like MSFT “a lot more” than ADBE/NOW, implying a favorable view of its competitive position. MSFT’s broad ecosystem, cloud/AI investments (Copilot), and enterprise stickiness make it a relative safe haven in software. Mildly bullish based on author’s preference and implied resilience against AI disruption. No specific data provided; author’s view is subjective; MSFT’s own AI costs could pressure margins.
Author explicitly states they like MSFT “a lot more” than ADBE/NOW, implying a favorable view of its competitive position. MSFT’s broad ecosystem, cloud/AI investments (Copilot), and enterprise stickiness make it a relative safe haven in software. Mildly bullish based on author’s preference and implied resilience against AI disruption. No specific data provided; author’s view is subjective; MSFT’s own AI costs could pressure margins.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 26
$175.26
+5.0%
Author says they “like SAP … a lot more” than the questioned stocks. SAP’s dominance in ERP and recent cloud transitions (S/4HANA) may provide a more defensible position against AI disruption. Mildly bullish as a value play with strong enterprise moat, per author’s view. No quantitative reasoning; SAP’s growth is slower; AI could still impact ERP workflows.
Author says they “like SAP … a lot more” than the questioned stocks. SAP’s dominance in ERP and recent cloud transitions (S/4HANA) may provide a more defensible position against AI disruption. Mildly bullish as a value play with strong enterprise moat, per author’s view. No quantitative reasoning; SAP’s growth is slower; AI could still impact ERP workflows.
AI/Semi
Showing 4 of 4 picks · sorted by mentions