SPCE has a $625M market cap, 23% short float, and a large outstanding call volume from retail. Market makers must hedge short calls by buying shares, potentially creating a gamma squeeze. If enough retail call buying forces institutional hedging, the resulting share buying could exceed daily float turnover, igniting a short squeeze. The author implies this dynamic is the real driver, not confusion with SpaceX. Trade relies on momentum and gamma/short squeeze mechanics, not fundamentals. Hold until short float drops significantly; sell if float collapses. Low liquidity, high volatility, potential for rapid unwinding if calls are sold. Company fundamentals are weak (near-zero revenue), and retail may be exit liquidity. Short interest could be manipulated or already declining.
SPCE has a $625M market cap, 23% short float, and a large outstanding call volume from retail. Market makers must hedge short calls by buying shares, potentially creating a gamma squeeze. If enough retail call buying forces institutional hedging, the resulting share buying could exceed daily float turnover, igniting a short squeeze. The author implies this dynamic is the real driver, not confusion with SpaceX. Trade relies on momentum and gamma/short squeeze mechanics, not fundamentals. Hold until short float drops significantly; sell if float collapses. Low liquidity, high volatility, potential for rapid unwinding if calls are sold. Company fundamentals are weak (near-zero revenue), and retail may be exit liquidity. Short interest could be manipulated or already declining.