Adobe has a $70B market cap, just authorized $25B in buybacks, and has beaten and raised guidance for three straight quarters while growing revenue and cash flow. The market is pricing in an AI‑driven disruption that has not materialized, creating a valuation gap. At current low P/E, Adobe’s consistent buybacks and earnings growth provide a margin of safety. The disconnect between robust fundamentals and depressed price offers a long‑term buying opportunity; the author would buy more if able. AI could eventually compress Adobe’s subscription model (e.g., generative AI replacing creative tools); further rotation out of software; recession slowing enterprise spending.
Adobe has a $70B market cap, just authorized $25B in buybacks, and has beaten and raised guidance for three straight quarters while growing revenue and cash flow. The market is pricing in an AI‑driven disruption that has not materialized, creating a valuation gap. At current low P/E, Adobe’s consistent buybacks and earnings growth provide a margin of safety. The disconnect between robust fundamentals and depressed price offers a long‑term buying opportunity; the author would buy more if able. AI could eventually compress Adobe’s subscription model (e.g., generative AI replacing creative tools); further rotation out of software; recession slowing enterprise spending.
Meta has posted triple‑beat earnings for four consecutive quarters, with revenue and earnings accelerating since AI adoption, yet trades at a historically low P/E. The market’s AI‑driven rotation has left Meta undervalued relative to its cash‑generating capacity and buyback program. The author lumps Meta with other SaaS names showing strong fundamentals; the same decoupling thesis applies. Regulatory headwinds, advertising cyclicality, AI capex spending reducing FCF.
Meta has posted triple‑beat earnings for four consecutive quarters, with revenue and earnings accelerating since AI adoption, yet trades at a historically low P/E. The market’s AI‑driven rotation has left Meta undervalued relative to its cash‑generating capacity and buyback program. The author lumps Meta with other SaaS names showing strong fundamentals; the same decoupling thesis applies. Regulatory headwinds, advertising cyclicality, AI capex spending reducing FCF.