u/Perfect-Dimension373

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+17.6%
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 100% Long 2 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 50%
90d 0%
Average Return +17.6% Long Return +17.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -5.1%
30d -1.2%
90d -5.6%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 02
$30.10
+34.3%
Long SMCI into earnings on AI backlog, squeeze
Author bought 433 SMCI shares at $30 flat, calling it an AI datacenter bet at a forward P/E of 8x versus a 25x sector average. The catalyst is tomorrow's Q2 FY2026 earnings with $10-11B revenue expected (100% QoQ growth), $0.49 EPS, and a $13B backlog mostly Blackwell/Vera Rubin systems; margin recovery to 10-12% via liquid cooling and reaffirmed FY2026 guidance of $36B+ could trigger a short squeeze with short interest around 15-20%. Stated risks are margins staying stuck or backlog delays. Author is holding through earnings.
AI Hardware
Long
Feb 02
$52.49
+0.8%
Long PYPL into earnings on cheap forward P/E
Author holds 502 PYPL shares at a $55.42 average, arguing the stock trades near 10x forward P/E versus a historical 20x+ and has beaten EPS estimates for 10 straight quarters. The catalyst is tomorrow's Q4 FY2025 earnings, where consensus is $1.29 EPS and $8.78B revenue with guidance of $1.27-1.31; a beat plus a decent FY2026 outlook (~8% EPS growth) could pop the stock 6-10%. Stated risks are competition from Apple Pay/Stripe eroding take rates and guidance decelerating too much, which could cause a dip. Author is holding through earnings.
Payments & Fintech
Showing 2 of 2 calls · sorted by mentions

u/Perfect-Dimension373 has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since February 2026. Most covered: PYPL, SMCI.

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