u/Odd_Veterinarian4381

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since May 2026
Calls 2 2 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 1
90d 2
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
MSFT long -10.1%
ORCL long -2.2%
Most Mentioned
MSFT ×1
ORCL ×1
Recent Calls
ORCL long 4 days ago
MSFT long 1 month ago
Win Rate 0% Long 2 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d —
Average Return -6.1% Long Return -6.1% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -1.4%
30d -6.7%
90d —
Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
ORCL Oracle C... Oracle Corporation
Long
Jun 17
$188.44
-2.2%
Oracle's Q4 FY2026 revenue grew 21% to $19.2B, cloud infrastructure surged 93% to $5.8B, operating cash flow hit a record $32B, and backlog is $638B. The stock's 25% drop from $248 to $187 is driven by fear of capex ($55.6B, up 162%) and negative FCF, but the capex funds AI infrastructure with massive pre-committed demand, suggesting the selloff is overdone. At ~21-22x annualized Q4 EPS, Oracle is undervalued relative to its growth rate (21% revenue, 93% cloud) and backlog visibility, making it a potential value buy amid market panic. Capex may not generate expected returns if AI demand slows; additional $40B debt/equity raise dilutes shareholders; competition from AWS, Azure, Google Cloud could pressure margins.
Oracle's Q4 FY2026 revenue grew 21% to $19.2B, cloud infrastructure surged 93% to $5.8B, operating cash flow hit a record $32B, and backlog is $638B. The stock's 25% drop from $248 to $187 is driven by fear of capex ($55.6B, up 162%) and negative FCF, but the capex funds AI infrastructure with massive pre-committed demand, suggesting the selloff is overdone. At ~21-22x annualized Q4 EPS, Oracle is undervalued relative to its growth rate (21% revenue, 93% cloud) and backlog visibility, making it a potential value buy amid market panic. Capex may not generate expected returns if AI demand slows; additional $40B debt/equity raise dilutes shareholders; competition from AWS, Azure, Google Cloud could pressure margins.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
MSFT Microsof... Microsoft Corporation
Long
May 17
$421.92
-10.1%
MSFT closed +3% while global indices fell ~2%, and it’s still 24% below its $555 ATH with a 94/100 quality score. This divergence suggests institutions may be rotating into high-quality tech, and a break above $433 resistance could trigger further upside toward $460-470. MSFT offers a compelling risk/reward as a safe-haven growth play with strong fundamentals and a large discount from peak. Valuation at 30x earnings isn’t cheap; broader market selloff could resume, or Azure/AI Copilot growth may disappoint; $433 resistance may hold. No other actionable trade ideas in this post.
MSFT closed +3% while global indices fell ~2%, and it’s still 24% below its $555 ATH with a 94/100 quality score. This divergence suggests institutions may be rotating into high-quality tech, and a break above $433 resistance could trigger further upside toward $460-470. MSFT offers a compelling risk/reward as a safe-haven growth play with strong fundamentals and a large discount from peak. Valuation at 30x earnings isn’t cheap; broader market selloff could resume, or Azure/AI Copilot growth may disappoint; $433 resistance may hold. No other actionable trade ideas in this post.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
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u/Odd_Veterinarian4381 has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: MSFT, ORCL.