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u/Nike_J

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since May 2026
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 1
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No live winners yet
Worst Calls
AMD short -5.0%
Most Mentioned
AMD ×1
Recent Calls
AMD short 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 0% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d
90d
Average Return -5.0% Long Return - Short Return -5.0%
Average Return
7d +8.9%
30d
90d
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Short
May 29
$511.71
-5.0%
AMD’s P/E is ~170, requiring roughly 5x profit growth to reach a 30-45 P/E, implying $200B revenue or 20% of a $1T TAM by 2030. Margins are structurally lower than Nvidia’s because AMD uses a more expensive node, packs more HBM (which is in short supply), and sells at a discount. This pressure makes hitting that profit target unlikely. The current rally is not supported by fundamentals; the author’s intuition says SELL, and the data suggests AMD is priced for perfection it may not achieve. AI demand could accelerate beyond forecasts; AMD may gain market share if ROCm matures or if hyperscalers diversify away from Nvidia; the P/E metric may be irrelevant for hypergrowth stocks (as commenters note).
AMD’s P/E is ~170, requiring roughly 5x profit growth to reach a 30-45 P/E, implying $200B revenue or 20% of a $1T TAM by 2030. Margins are structurally lower than Nvidia’s because AMD uses a more expensive node, packs more HBM (which is in short supply), and sells at a discount. This pressure makes hitting that profit target unlikely. The current rally is not supported by fundamentals; the author’s intuition says SELL, and the data suggests AMD is priced for perfection it may not achieve. AI demand could accelerate beyond forecasts; AMD may gain market share if ROCm matures or if hyperscalers diversify away from Nvidia; the P/E metric may be irrelevant for hypergrowth stocks (as commenters note).
AI/Semi
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u/Nike_J has 1 trade idea tracked on Buzzberg across 1 ticker since May 2026. Most covered: AMD.