u/Nike_J

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since May 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+5.1%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
AMD Short +5.1%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
AMD ×1
Recent Calls
AMD Short 2 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 0%
90d
Average Return +5.1% Long Return - Short Return +5.1%
Average Return
7d +8.9%
30d -5.4%
90d
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Theme
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Short
May 29
$511.71
+5.1%
AMD’s P/E is ~170, requiring roughly 5x profit growth to reach a 30-45 P/E, implying $200B revenue or 20% of a $1T TAM by 2030. Margins are structurally lower than Nvidia’s because AMD uses a more expensive node, packs more HBM (which is in short supply), and sells at a discount. This pressure makes hitting that profit target unlikely. The current rally is not supported by fundamentals; the author’s intuition says SELL, and the data suggests AMD is priced for perfection it may not achieve. AI demand could accelerate beyond forecasts; AMD may gain market share if ROCm matures or if hyperscalers diversify away from Nvidia; the P/E metric may be irrelevant for hypergrowth stocks (as commenters note).
AMD’s P/E is ~170, requiring roughly 5x profit growth to reach a 30-45 P/E, implying $200B revenue or 20% of a $1T TAM by 2030. Margins are structurally lower than Nvidia’s because AMD uses a more expensive node, packs more HBM (which is in short supply), and sells at a discount. This pressure makes hitting that profit target unlikely. The current rally is not supported by fundamentals; the author’s intuition says SELL, and the data suggests AMD is priced for perfection it may not achieve. AI demand could accelerate beyond forecasts; AMD may gain market share if ROCm matures or if hyperscalers diversify away from Nvidia; the P/E metric may be irrelevant for hypergrowth stocks (as commenters note).
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u/Nike_J has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: AMD.