u/Nhruch

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-5.4%
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -5.4% Long Return -5.4% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -9.5%
30d -49.7%
90d -39.1%
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jan 25
$21.81
-5.4%
Long PGY: AI loan tollbooth, cheap vs peers, earnings catalyst
Author claims Pagaya (PGY) is undervalued because its AI-backed second-look loan underwriting and shift to forward-flow funding with sovereign funds and insurers have turned it into a high-margin loan-approval tollbooth with minimal balance-sheet risk and roughly 35% YoY growth. They argue the stock trades at a laughable ~1.2x P/S versus Upstart and Affirm around 6x, and that February 9 earnings plus analyst upgrades and another profitable quarter could drive it back to its 1-year high of $45 near term and above $100 over one to two years. The main stated risk from the author's history is that rate hikes can make higher loans volatile and cause defaults in held tranches, along with the Theorem Technology lawsuit, though the lawsuit has been suspended.
Payments & Fintech
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u/Nhruch has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: PGY.

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