u/NerfLapras

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-2.7%
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 100%
90d 100%
Average Return -2.7% Long Return -2.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +8.5%
30d +12.0%
90d +0.4%
Visual Insights Log in to see more
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 12
$22.78
-2.7%
Mispriced French gambling monopoly with 9% yield and Feb 19 catalyst
The author says FDJU.PA is a mispriced French gambling monopoly after a 35% share-price decline, citing a legal monopoly, 30,000+ points of sale, a 24% recurring EBITDA margin, and a 35% core lottery margin. The Kindred/Unibet acquisition raised digital revenue from 12% to over 30%, and despite the €2.5B debt taken on and a French tax hike, the author views it as a cash-cow business that can deleverage by 2026. Management's 75% payout policy supports a roughly €2.10 dividend and a ~9% yield, while 5.89% short interest and about 21 days to cover could amplify upside. The Feb 19 annual results are the catalyst, with the main stated risk being debt/tax headwinds and execution on Kindred integration and deleveraging.
Gaming & Leisure
Showing 1 of 1 calls · sorted by mentions

u/NerfLapras has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since February 2026. Most covered: FDJU.PA.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology