u/Negotior

Reddit r/stocks
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-42.8%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 0% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 100%
90d 0%
Average Return -42.8% Long Return - Short Return -42.8%
Average Return
7d -0.4%
30d +14.9%
90d -90.4%
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Feb 06
$418.69
-42.8%
SITM overbought, dilutive debt-funded deal
The author argues SiTime is overbought after gapping up on acquisition and earnings news, noting the deal adds $900M in debt to a company that earned $82.6M and dilutes shareholders by 16% via over 4 million new shares, making it closer to a $3B purchase. The author contends earnings were flat versus 2022 (~$82-83M) yet the stock trades far higher, and questions why Renesas would sell a division generating $210M in profit next year unless SiTime is overpaying. The catalyst is the deal not closing until at least EOY 2026 and the market going 'full hopium' on data center buildout. The author expresses the view by buying $400 3/20 puts, with the main risk being continued momentum on data center optimism. Reported returns track the underlying asset, not option P&L.
Power Semis
Showing 1 of 1 calls · sorted by mentions

u/Negotior has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since February 2026. Most covered: SITM.

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