u/moonski

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
50.0%
return
-6.9%
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
SPY Long +7.7%
Worst Calls
USO Short -21.5%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×1
BNO ×1
Recent Calls
SPY Long 4 months ago
USO Short 4 months ago
Win Rate 50% Long 1 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 50%
90d 50%
Average Return -6.9% Long Return +7.7% Short Return -21.5%
Average Return
7d -6.8%
30d -12.3%
90d +1.5%
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 17
$710.40
+7.7%
Author states a closed Hormuz is "bullish for the market. Somehow." The implication is that lower oil prices (from the bearish oil thesis) could lift equity indices, or that OPEX mechanics are the dominant market force. A vague link between a geopolitical event and general market positivity, heavily qualified ("Somehow"). Geopolitical instability is typically a market negative. The core premise (closed strait) is disputed in comments.
Author states a closed Hormuz is "bullish for the market. Somehow." The implication is that lower oil prices (from the bearish oil thesis) could lift equity indices, or that OPEX mechanics are the dominant market force. A vague link between a geopolitical event and general market positivity, heavily qualified ("Somehow"). Geopolitical instability is typically a market negative. The core premise (closed strait) is disputed in comments.
Equity Indexes
Short
Apr 17
$116.10
-21.5%
Author states "Hormuz isn't open" and suggests this is "bearish for oil prices," contrary to the typical geopolitical risk premium. If the market interprets a closure as bearish (perhaps due to demand destruction or coordinated releases), it could pressure oil prices. A contrarian, low-conviction idea that a major supply chokepoint closure will not spike oil. Verified closure would be massively bullish for oil. Comments show live views of ships in the strait, contradicting the "closed" claim.
Author states "Hormuz isn't open" and suggests this is "bearish for oil prices," contrary to the typical geopolitical risk premium. If the market interprets a closure as bearish (perhaps due to demand destruction or coordinated releases), it could pressure oil prices. A contrarian, low-conviction idea that a major supply chokepoint closure will not spike oil. Verified closure would be massively bullish for oil. Comments show live views of ships in the strait, contradicting the "closed" claim.
Commodities
Showing 2 of 2 calls · sorted by mentions

u/moonski has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: SPY, BNO.