u/Metacog_Drivel

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Sep 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
50.0%
return
-2.3%
Calls 2 2 Posts tracked · 2.0/day
Calls
7d 2
30d 2
90d 2
Best Calls
RKLB Long +0.4%
Worst Calls
AVAV Short -5.0%
Most Mentioned
AVAV ×1
RKLB ×1
Recent Calls
AVAV Short 1 day ago
RKLB Long 1 day ago
Win Rate 50% Long 1 Short 1
Win Rate
7d
30d
90d
Average Return -2.3% Long Return +0.4% Short Return -5.0%
Average Return
7d
30d
90d
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Ticker
Side
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Call Price
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Sep 11
$139.10
-5.0%
AVAV price action implies Middle East peace, bearish
The author infers from AVAV's price action that the market is pricing in Middle East peace for the first time in history. The causal mechanism is that peace would reduce demand for defense/drone products, pressuring AVAV shares. The catalyst is geopolitical de-escalation implied by the stock's move; the main risk is that the price action reflects company-specific factors rather than peace expectations.
Defense
Long
Sep 11
$62.80
+0.4%
RKLB coiled for >$100 on macro recovery
The author argues RKLB keeps delivering good news yet can barely hold a 1% gain, implying the stock is being held back by macro conditions rather than company fundamentals. Once the macro environment improves, the author expects RKLB to move back over $100 quickly. The catalyst is a macro improvement; the main risk implied is continued macro headwinds suppressing the stock despite positive news.
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Showing 2 of 2 calls · sorted by mentions

u/Metacog_Drivel has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since September 2026. Most covered: AVAV, RKLB.