u/MattieuOdd

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
50.0%
return
-10.2%
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 50% Long 2 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -10.2% Long Return -10.2% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -0.8%
30d -12.0%
90d -25.0%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jan 12
$1076.55
+7.1%
Oral GLP-1s to exceed 25% market share
The author argues oral GLP-1s like Eli Lilly's orfo will capture more than 25% of the total obesity market by 2030, contrary to analyst estimates. The author cites strong behavioral anchors such as fear of injection, pain, and the perception that injection therapy signals severe health problems, which should drive patients toward oral alternatives. The author acknowledges injectables may have better efficacy and lower side effects but believes oral benefits outweigh these factors.
GLP-1 / Obesity
Long
Jan 12
$59.73
-27.4%
Oral GLP-1s to exceed 25% market share
The author argues oral GLP-1s like Novo Nordisk's sema will capture more than 25% of the total obesity market by 2030, contrary to analyst estimates. The author cites strong behavioral anchors such as fear of injection, pain, and the perception that injection therapy signals severe health problems, which should drive patients toward oral alternatives. The author acknowledges injectables may have better efficacy and lower side effects but believes oral benefits outweigh these factors.
GLP-1 / Obesity
Showing 2 of 2 calls · sorted by mentions

u/MattieuOdd has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: NVO, LLY.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology