Beaten-down Petco recovery on FCF and deleveraging
The author argues WOOF trades around $2.40-$2.50 with a ~$700M market cap on ~$6B revenue, down 90%+ from IPO highs, pricing in fears of being crushed by Chewy and Amazon. The thesis is that pet owners spend on their pets regardless of economy, Petco's ~1,380 stores with grooming and vet services are hard for online players to replicate, and management is closing bad stores, cutting unprofitable sales, expanding margins, generating FCF and paying down debt. Main risk is the debt-soaked post-SPAC structure; author sizes it as a lottery ticket, not a retirement position.