u/LocalExamination6691 5.0 3 ideas

TLDR
=== SUMMARY === - The post presents a bullish thesis on AMD, arguing it is significantly undervalued based on CEO Lisa Su's forward-looking statements and track record. - The author's core argument is that if AMD's CEO achieves her stated goal of a 5x increase in EPS over the next five years, the stock price should multiply significantly by 2030. - Quality assessment: This is speculation based on forward-looking management commentary and high-level valuation comparisons, not in-depth due diligence (DD). === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === AMD - LONG | confidence: 0.90 | sentiment: +1.00 Speaker: u/LocalExamination6691 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: CEO Lisa Su has forecasted a potential EPS of $20+ within 5 years, a nearly 5x increase from the current $4.17 EPS. She is also known for under-promising and over-delivering. 2. THE BRIDGE: This massive EPS growth, if realized, is not reflected in the current stock price, especially when compared to the higher valuation multiples of competitors like NVDA and AVGO. This suggests the stock is "crazy, crazy underpriced." 3. THE VERDICT: The combination of a credible CEO's ambitious but achievable growth targets and a relatively lower valuation presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity for significant capital appreciation (2x-5x). 4. RISKS: The CEO's forecast could be overly optimistic or fail to materialize. Supply chain issues, execution delays, or a broader "AI Bubble" bursting could negatively impact performance and invalidate the thesis. Timeframe: long-term Key Points: - CEO forecasts EPS of $20+ in 5 years (nearly 5x growth) - CEO Lisa Su has a history of "sandbagging" forecasts - AMD has secured deals with major data center customers - Valuation (P/S ratio) is lower than peers like NVDA/AVGO - Margins have been showing slow, consistent improvement NVDA - AVOID | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: -0.30 Speaker: u/LocalExamination6691 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: The author notes that NVIDIA (NVDA) trades at a much

Key Points
['CEO forecasts EPS of $20+ in 5 years (nearly 5x growth)', 'CEO Lisa Su has a history of "sandbagging" forecasts', 'AMD has secured deals with major data center customers', 'Valuation (P/S ratio) is lower than peers like NVDA/AVGO', 'Margins have been showing slow, consistent improvement']

March 01, 2026 at 13:48

TLDR
=== SUMMARY === - The post presents a bullish thesis on AMD, arguing it is significantly undervalued based on CEO Lisa Su's forward-looking statements and track record. - The author's core argument is that if AMD's CEO achieves her stated goal of a 5x increase in EPS over the next five years, the stock price should multiply significantly by 2030. - Quality assessment: This is speculation based on forward-looking management commentary and high-level valuation comparisons, not in-depth due diligence (DD). === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === AMD - LONG | confidence: 0.90 | sentiment: +1.00 Speaker: u/LocalExamination6691 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: CEO Lisa Su has forecasted a potential EPS of $20+ within 5 years, a nearly 5x increase from the current $4.17 EPS. She is also known for under-promising and over-delivering. 2. THE BRIDGE: This massive EPS growth, if realized, is not reflected in the current stock price, especially when compared to the higher valuation multiples of competitors like NVDA and AVGO. This suggests the stock is "crazy, crazy underpriced." 3. THE VERDICT: The combination of a credible CEO's ambitious but achievable growth targets and a relatively lower valuation presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity for significant capital appreciation (2x-5x). 4. RISKS: The CEO's forecast could be overly optimistic or fail to materialize. Supply chain issues, execution delays, or a broader "AI Bubble" bursting could negatively impact performance and invalidate the thesis. Timeframe: long-term Key Points: - CEO forecasts EPS of $20+ in 5 years (nearly 5x growth) - CEO Lisa Su has a history of "sandbagging" forecasts - AMD has secured deals with major data center customers - Valuation (P/S ratio) is lower than peers like NVDA/AVGO - Margins have been showing slow, consistent improvement NVDA - AVOID | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: -0.30 Speaker: u/LocalExamination6691 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: The author notes that NVIDIA (NVDA) trades at a much

Key Points
['Trades at a high Price-to-Sales multiple (20x)', 'Used as a benchmark to show AMD is relatively cheaper', 'Implied to be a less attractive investment than AMD']

March 01, 2026 at 13:48

TLDR
=== SUMMARY === - The post presents a bullish thesis on AMD, arguing it is significantly undervalued based on CEO Lisa Su's forward-looking statements and track record. - The author's core argument is that if AMD's CEO achieves her stated goal of a 5x increase in EPS over the next five years, the stock price should multiply significantly by 2030. - Quality assessment: This is speculation based on forward-looking management commentary and high-level valuation comparisons, not in-depth due diligence (DD). === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === AMD - LONG | confidence: 0.90 | sentiment: +1.00 Speaker: u/LocalExamination6691 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: CEO Lisa Su has forecasted a potential EPS of $20+ within 5 years, a nearly 5x increase from the current $4.17 EPS. She is also known for under-promising and over-delivering. 2. THE BRIDGE: This massive EPS growth, if realized, is not reflected in the current stock price, especially when compared to the higher valuation multiples of competitors like NVDA and AVGO. This suggests the stock is "crazy, crazy underpriced." 3. THE VERDICT: The combination of a credible CEO's ambitious but achievable growth targets and a relatively lower valuation presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity for significant capital appreciation (2x-5x). 4. RISKS: The CEO's forecast could be overly optimistic or fail to materialize. Supply chain issues, execution delays, or a broader "AI Bubble" bursting could negatively impact performance and invalidate the thesis. Timeframe: long-term Key Points: - CEO forecasts EPS of $20+ in 5 years (nearly 5x growth) - CEO Lisa Su has a history of "sandbagging" forecasts - AMD has secured deals with major data center customers - Valuation (P/S ratio) is lower than peers like NVDA/AVGO - Margins have been showing slow, consistent improvement NVDA - AVOID | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: -0.30 Speaker: u/LocalExamination6691 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: The author notes that NVIDIA (NVDA) trades at a much

Key Points
['Trades at a high Price-to-Sales multiple (30x)', "Valuation is significantly higher than AMD's", 'Implied to be less attractive on a relative value basis']

March 01, 2026 at 13:48