u/ilnik2003

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since May 2026
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SMH short -4.6%
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SMH ×1
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SMH short 5 days ago
Win Rate 0% Long 0 Short 1
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Average Return -4.6% Long Return - Short Return -4.6%
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SMH VanEck S... VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Short
May 30
$598.93
-4.6%
Semiconductor and memory (RAM) have historically followed boom-bust cycles; current demand extrapolation and capacity builds mirror past peaks. Frothy IPOs (SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic) and FOMO-driven buying indicate the market is overextended, creating a short opportunity on a broad semiconductor ETF. Short SMH to bet on a mean-reversion cycle as oversupply and slowing demand reverse the current euphoria. AI demand may be structurally persistent, delaying the bust; new capacity could take years to materialize; central bank liquidity could extend the boom.
Semiconductor and memory (RAM) have historically followed boom-bust cycles; current demand extrapolation and capacity builds mirror past peaks. Frothy IPOs (SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic) and FOMO-driven buying indicate the market is overextended, creating a short opportunity on a broad semiconductor ETF. Short SMH to bet on a mean-reversion cycle as oversupply and slowing demand reverse the current euphoria. AI demand may be structurally persistent, delaying the bust; new capacity could take years to materialize; central bank liquidity could extend the boom.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
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