Author explicitly moved 15% of equity allocation into short‑duration Treasuries as a defensive hedge. If oil‑driven inflation reaccelerates and the Fed stays on hold, risk assets could fall; short‑term bonds provide yield and principal stability. A direct cash rotation into SHY (iShares 1‑3 Year Treasury ETF) to preserve capital and earn yield while waiting for clarity. Oil resolves quickly (Hormuz reopens, Iran deal) → equity rally could cause underperformance vs. longer‑duration bonds or stocks.
Author explicitly moved 15% of equity allocation into short‑duration Treasuries as a defensive hedge. If oil‑driven inflation reaccelerates and the Fed stays on hold, risk assets could fall; short‑term bonds provide yield and principal stability. A direct cash rotation into SHY (iShares 1‑3 Year Treasury ETF) to preserve capital and earn yield while waiting for clarity. Oil resolves quickly (Hormuz reopens, Iran deal) → equity rally could cause underperformance vs. longer‑duration bonds or stocks.