u/Historical_Edge_3325

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Jun 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+0.3%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 0%
90d
Average Return +0.3% Long Return +0.3% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +8.1%
30d -2.0%
90d
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 25
$71.84
+0.3%
NFLX dropped ~30% from $107 to $71-72 despite growing revenue, margins, ads, and cash flow; buyback authorization is large relative to content budget. Into earnings, institutions often position early for predictable execution, and the buyback provides a floor and EPS tailwind — creating a pre-earnings bid that can lift the stock 4-5%. Buy $75C (strike ~4% above current price) to capture the expected move into earnings without holding through the print; breakeven ~$77.37 but author plans to exit before expiry. Earnings miss or lack of pre-earnings momentum; continued selling pressure from failed acquisition; IV contraction if stock doesn’t move; time decay erodes option value.
NFLX dropped ~30% from $107 to $71-72 despite growing revenue, margins, ads, and cash flow; buyback authorization is large relative to content budget. Into earnings, institutions often position early for predictable execution, and the buyback provides a floor and EPS tailwind — creating a pre-earnings bid that can lift the stock 4-5%. Buy $75C (strike ~4% above current price) to capture the expected move into earnings without holding through the print; breakeven ~$77.37 but author plans to exit before expiry. Earnings miss or lack of pre-earnings momentum; continued selling pressure from failed acquisition; IV contraction if stock doesn’t move; time decay erodes option value.
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u/Historical_Edge_3325 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: NFLX.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology