Major energy stocks (XOM, CVX, OXY, COP) have had a strong run recently, driven by geopolitical tensions. This strong performance suggests the trade might be "crowded" and, given the sector's historical cyclicality, the author questions if they are "late to the party." The author is hesitant to enter the energy sector now, fearing a cyclical downturn after the recent run-up, making it a sector to avoid or watch from the sidelines. Geopolitical conflicts could escalate further, driving crude prices and energy stocks significantly higher, invalidating the "late to the party" concern.
XLE
HIGH
Mar 09, 12:18
Key Points
['Energy has had a strong run lately.', 'Geopolitical tensions are a key driver.', 'The trade may be crowded and cyclical.', 'Author is concerned about being "late to the party."']
March 09, 2026 at 12:18